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Valur W vs Selfoss W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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League Cup Women 2023
Valur W Logo

Valur W

7 - 1
FT
Selfoss W Logo

Selfoss W

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 7-1, with Valur W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Valur W
20%
Draws
34%
Selfoss W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Valur W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Valur W come out ahead of Selfoss W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Valur W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Valur W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Valur W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Valur W Clean Sheet 20%
Selfoss W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valur W Selfoss W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 6
Draws 7 1
Losses 14 23
Goals Scored 1.35 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.52 2.47
Expected Goals (xG) 3.94 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2024 League Cup Women
Valur W vs Selfoss W
4:0
Jul 9, 2023 Besta deild Women
Selfoss W vs Valur W
0:3
May 10, 2023 Besta deild Women
Valur W vs Selfoss W
1:1
Mar 8, 2023 League Cup Women
Valur W vs Selfoss W
7:1
Oct 1, 2022 Besta deild Women
Valur W vs Selfoss W
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valur W 85 / 100
Selfoss W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valur W Selfoss W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Valur W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Selfoss W has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Valur W scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Recent resilience: Valur W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Valur W VS Selfoss W
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 7
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Valur W

(Home)
02 Oct
Fram W
1 : 2
Valur W
25 Sept
Valur W
1 : 1
Vikingur Reykjavik W
19 Sept
Valur W
0 : 1
Thor/KA W
06 Sept
Grindavik/Njardvik W
1 : 4
Valur W
30 Aug
Valur W
2 : 2
Hafnarfjordur W
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Selfoss W

(Away)
15 May
Selfoss W
0 : 7
Hafnarfjordur W
26 Apr
Selfoss W
2 : 1
Haukar W
19 Apr
Selfoss W
7 : 1
Augnablik W
19 Apr
Haukar W
4 : 0
Selfoss W
22 Apr
Akranes W
5 : 4
Selfoss W
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Throttur W 5 5 0 0 24:3 15
2 Thor/KA W 5 4 0 1 21:10 12
3 Valur W 5 3 0 2 21:10 9
4 Selfoss W 5 2 0 3 11:20 6
5 Hafnarfjordur W 5 1 0 4 11:18 3
6 KR Reykjavik W 5 0 0 5 3:30 0
Promotion - League Cup Women 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Breidablik W 5 4 1 0 27:1 13
2 Stjarnan W 5 4 1 0 14:3 13
3 Tindastoll W 5 3 0 2 8:15 9
4 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 5 2 0 3 6:8 6
5 Keflavik W 5 1 0 4 4:18 3
6 Afturelding W 5 0 0 5 3:17 0
Promotion - League Cup Women 2023 (Play Offs)