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Van vs Sardarapat - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Armenia Armenia

Premier League Charentsavan City Stadium, Charentsavan
Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Sub
Daniel I. I. In: Samuel Reis
Out: Daniel I. I.
31' Event
Petrosyan L.
Assist: Vardanyan L.
40'
Kartashyan A.

AI Match Summary

Sardarapat in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sardarapat.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Van
20%
Draws
36%
Sardarapat
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Van

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sardarapat lately — more wins on the board than Van.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Van Clean Sheet 10%
Sardarapat Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Van Sardarapat
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 7 13
Draws 5 9
Losses 16 4
Goals Scored 0.93 2.04
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2026 Premier League
Van vs Sardarapat
1:4
Jul 14, 2026 Club Friendly
Sardarapat vs Van
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Van Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Sardarapat Compare

Top Goalscorer Petrosyan L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Davtyan J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Van 34 / 100
Sardarapat 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Van Sardarapat

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sardarapat Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Van found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (28 games).

Sardarapat has conceded goals in 65% of their last 26 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Van went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Van VS Sardarapat
0.5 Goals Scored 1.75
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Van

(Home)
10 Oct
Van
2 : 0
FC Gandzasar
18 Sept
Noah
2 : 0
Van
11 Sept
Van
2 : 1
BKMA
03 Sept
Alashkert
4 : 0
Van
29 Aug
Van
0 : 4
Shirak Gyumri
Page 1 of 6

Sardarapat

(Away)
19 Sept
BKMA
1 : 1
Sardarapat
13 Sept
Sardarapat
1 : 1
Alashkert
09 Sept
Sardarapat
2 : 4
Pyunik Yerevan
06 Sept
Shirak Gyumri
2 : 0
Sardarapat
31 Aug
Sardarapat
3 : 1
Syunik
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Noah 8 8 0 0 21:5 24
2 Ararat-Armenia 9 6 2 1 18:9 20
3 Pyunik Yerevan 8 5 3 0 18:8 18
4 Alashkert 9 4 4 1 19:7 16
5 Sardarapat 8 3 3 2 14:12 12
6 Urartu 8 3 2 3 12:10 11
7 Shirak Gyumri 8 3 1 4 11:10 10
8 Ararat Yerevan 8 3 0 5 6:13 9
9 BKMA 8 2 2 4 8:10 8
10 Van 9 2 1 6 6:21 7
11 FC Gandzasar 9 1 0 8 8:22 3
12 Syunik 8 0 2 6 3:17 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - First League 2027/2028 (Main)