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Vancouver FC vs Valour - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Canada Canada

Canadian Premier League 2025 Willoughby Community Park Stadium, Langley, BC
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Match Events

3' Event
Froese K.
Assist: Morgan M.
9'
Facchineri G.
22'
Mlah S.

AI Match Summary

The Canadian Premier League 2025 game between Vancouver FC and Valour finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Valour.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Vancouver FC
35%
Draws
26%
Valour
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Vancouver FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Vancouver FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Vancouver FC's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Canadian Premier League 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Vancouver FC Clean Sheet 68%
Valour Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vancouver FC Valour
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 6 6
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 1.39 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.64 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2025 Canadian Premier League
Vancouver FC vs Valour
2:5
Jul 26, 2025 Canadian Premier League
Vancouver FC vs Valour
1:3
Jun 4, 2025 Canadian Premier League
Valour vs Vancouver FC
3:1
May 3, 2025 Canadian Premier League
Valour vs Vancouver FC
1:3
Oct 13, 2024 Canadian Premier League
Vancouver FC vs Valour
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vancouver FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Bah E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86

Valour Compare

Top Goalscorer Froese K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Facchineri G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vancouver FC 50 / 100
Valour 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vancouver FC Valour

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vancouver FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Valour has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Vancouver FC found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (33 games).

Solid form: Vancouver FC remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vancouver FC VS -
2.25 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vancouver FC

(Home)
26 Sept
Vancouver FC
1 : 1
Forge FC
24 Sept
Vancouver FC
3 : 3
Inter Toronto
20 Sept
Pacific FC
1 : 1
Vancouver FC
13 Sept
Inter Toronto
3 : 1
Vancouver FC
06 Sept
Vancouver FC
3 : 2
Supra du Quebec
Page 1 of 7

Valour

(Away)
18 Oct
Pacific FC
1 : 4
Valour
11 Oct
Valour
0 : 3
HFX Wanderers
05 Oct
Valour
3 : 3
Atletico Ottawa
28 Sept
Inter Toronto
1 : 0
Valour
20 Sept
Cavalry
3 : 0
Valour
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Forge FC 28 16 10 2 51:22 58
2 Atletico Ottawa 28 15 11 2 54:28 56
3 Cavalry 28 11 9 8 47:36 42
4 HFX Wanderers 28 11 6 11 41:34 39
5 Inter Toronto 28 10 8 10 43:38 38
6 Valour 28 7 5 16 35:62 26
7 Pacific FC 28 5 8 15 30:59 23
8 Vancouver FC 28 4 9 15 35:57 21
Promotion - Canadian Premier League 2025 (Play Offs)
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