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Vancouver Rise FC W vs AFC Toronto W

Canada Canada

NSL Women Swangard Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Cowart J.
Own Goal
37' Event
Oularbi A.
46'
Sub
Chisholm O. In: Owusu L.
Out: Chisholm O.

AI Match Summary

The NSL Women game between Vancouver Rise FC W and AFC Toronto W finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AFC Toronto W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Vancouver Rise FC W
22%
Draws
60%
AFC Toronto W
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: AFC Toronto W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Vancouver Rise FC W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives AFC Toronto W a 60% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and AFC Toronto W have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Vancouver Rise FC W Clean Sheet 10%
AFC Toronto W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vancouver Rise FC W AFC Toronto W
Matches Played 15 10
Wins 5 4
Draws 1 3
Losses 9 3
Goals Scored 2.25 1.63
Goals Conceded 2.25 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 NSL Women
Vancouver Rise FC W vs AFC Toronto W
1:3
May 23, 2026 NSL Women
Vancouver Rise FC W vs AFC Toronto W
2:1
Apr 25, 2026 NSL Women
Vancouver Rise FC W vs AFC Toronto W
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vancouver Rise FC W Compare

Top Goalscorer Oularbi A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

AFC Toronto W Compare

Top Goalscorer Rowe L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hunter K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vancouver Rise FC W 18 / 100
AFC Toronto W 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vancouver Rise FC W AFC Toronto W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AFC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Vancouver Rise FC W scored in 73% of their last 15 outings.

AFC Toronto W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 10 matches.

Recent resilience: Vancouver Rise FC W stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vancouver Rise FC W VS AFC Toronto W
2.25 Goals Scored 1.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ottawa Rapid FC W1181226:1325
2Montreal Roses FC W1163222:1121
3AFC Toronto W1043315:1015
4Halifax Tides FC W1142513:1014
5Vancouver Rise FC W1141617:2913
6Calgary Wild FC W100288:282