Sport Picks

USA

MLS Next Pro Swangard Stadium

Vancouver Whitecaps 2

2 - 1

Tacoma Defiance

Our Tip

Match Events

12'

Winslow J.

38'

Sub

Phoenix C. In: Gaffney C.

Out: Phoenix C.

39'

Bronnik M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The MLS Next Pro game between Vancouver Whitecaps 2 and Tacoma Defiance finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vancouver Whitecaps 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

Vancouver Whitecaps 2

28%

Draws

22%

Tacoma Defiance

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Vancouver Whitecaps 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Vancouver Whitecaps 2 have managed 1.13 goals a game lately — Tacoma Defiance are scoring more at 1.38.
Model gives Vancouver Whitecaps 2 a 50% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%

Vancouver Whitecaps 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Tacoma Defiance Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	Tacoma Defiance
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	11	11
Draws	0	0
Losses	18	18
Goals Scored	1.13	1.38
Goals Conceded	2.38	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.38	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 MLS Next Pro

Vancouver Whitecaps 2 vs Tacoma Defiance

Possession: 53% - 58% Cards: 1 - 1

0:2

Apr 12, 2026 MLS Next Pro

Vancouver Whitecaps 2 vs Tacoma Defiance

Possession: 46% - 54% Cards: 3 - 3

2:1

Sep 5, 2025 MLS Next Pro

Tacoma Defiance vs Vancouver Whitecaps 2

Possession: 41% - 55% Cards: 3 - 3

1:3

May 15, 2025 MLS Next Pro

Vancouver Whitecaps 2 vs Tacoma Defiance

Possession: 42% - 55% Cards: 2 - 3

5:0

Apr 7, 2025 MLS Next Pro

Tacoma Defiance vs Vancouver Whitecaps 2

Possession: 52% - 42% Cards: 2 - 1

5:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vancouver Whitecaps 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Wright T.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Ittycheria D.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Tacoma Defiance Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez L.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vancouver Whitecaps 2 47 / 100

Tacoma Defiance 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Vancouver Whitecaps 2 Tacoma Defiance

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAN Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vancouver Whitecaps 2's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Tacoma Defiance's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Solid form: Vancouver Whitecaps 2 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vancouver Whitecaps 2 VS Tacoma Defiance

1.13 Goals Scored 1.38

2.38 Goals Conceded 1.25

88% Over 1.5 63%

75% Over 2.5 50%

38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Columbus Crew 2	17	12	5	31:27	34
2	New York Red Bulls II	17	10	7	39:24	32
3	New England Revolution II	16	11	5	21:18	31
4	New York City II	15	8	7	24:23	25
5	Philadelphia Union II	17	8	9	21:21	24
6	CT United FC	16	8	8	28:29	22
7	Toronto FC II	17	7	10	25:32	22
8	FC Cincinnati 2	16	5	11	15:29	14

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Crown Legacy	16	12	4	41:22	34
2	Chattanooga	17	11	6	33:28	31
3	Orlando City B	17	10	7	37:31	30
4	Atlanta United 2	16	8	8	34:25	27
5	Chicago Fire II	16	8	8	24:24	24
6	Huntsville City	16	7	9	29:35	21
7	Carolina Core	18	5	13	21:31	17
8	Inter Miami II	15	1	14	13:37	5

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Portland Timbers 2	17	10	7	23:22	32
2	Ventura County	18	10	8	32:27	29
3	San Jose Earthquakes II	15	9	6	37:18	28
4	Los Angeles FC 2	16	9	7	28:28	28
5	Real Monarchs	17	9	8	27:30	23
6	Tacoma Defiance	17	7	10	18:24	21
7	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	18	6	12	24:38	17

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Austin FC II	16	13	3	34:13	40
2	Houston Dynamo 2	15	12	3	35:13	34
3	St. Louis City 2	17	10	7	28:28	29
4	Minnesota United 2	18	9	9	25:29	26
5	North Texas	15	7	8	26:20	22
6	Sporting Kansas City II	18	4	14	23:50	13
7	Colorado Rapids 2	17	2	15	15:35	9

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Columbus Crew 2	17	12	5	31:27	34
2	Crown Legacy	16	12	4	41:22	34
3	New York Red Bulls II	17	10	7	39:24	32
4	Chattanooga	17	11	6	33:28	31
5	New England Revolution II	16	11	5	21:18	31
6	Orlando City B	17	10	7	37:31	30
7	Atlanta United 2	16	8	8	34:25	27
8	New York City II	15	8	7	24:23	25
9	Philadelphia Union II	17	8	9	21:21	24
10	Chicago Fire II	16	8	8	24:24	24
11	CT United FC	16	8	8	28:29	22
12	Toronto FC II	17	7	10	25:32	22
13	Huntsville City	16	7	9	29:35	21
14	Carolina Core	18	5	13	21:31	17
15	FC Cincinnati 2	16	5	11	15:29	14
16	Inter Miami II	15	1	14	13:37	5

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Austin FC II	16	13	3	34:13	40
2	Houston Dynamo 2	15	12	3	35:13	34
3	Portland Timbers 2	17	10	7	23:22	32
4	Ventura County	18	10	8	32:27	29
5	St. Louis City 2	17	10	7	28:28	29
6	San Jose Earthquakes II	15	9	6	37:18	28
7	Los Angeles FC 2	16	9	7	28:28	28
8	Minnesota United 2	18	9	9	25:29	26
9	Real Monarchs	17	9	8	27:30	23
10	North Texas	15	7	8	26:20	22
11	Tacoma Defiance	17	7	10	18:24	21
12	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	18	6	12	24:38	17
13	Sporting Kansas City II	18	4	14	23:50	13
14	Colorado Rapids 2	17	2	15	15:35	9