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Vancouver Whitecaps vs DC United

USA USA

MLS BC Place, Vancouver, BC
Sun, Sep 27, 2026
VS
02:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vancouver Whitecaps host DC United in the MLS. This one's hard to separate. Vancouver Whitecaps have averaged 1.94 scored and 1.22 conceded recently, against DC United's 1.27 scored and 1.58 conceded. Head-to-head, Vancouver Whitecaps have won 1 to DC United's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on Oct 1, 2023, ending 2:2. xG projections (1.38 - 0.88) back Vancouver Whitecaps to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Vancouver Whitecaps
30%
Draws
39%
DC United
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: DC United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Vancouver Whitecaps have won more games recently than DC United.
  • Model gives Vancouver Whitecaps a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Vancouver Whitecaps Clean Sheet 20%
DC United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vancouver Whitecaps DC United
Matches Played 32 26
Wins 14 6
Draws 6 12
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.94 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.22 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 1, 2023 MLS
Vancouver Whitecaps vs DC United
2:2
Feb 1, 2023 Club Friendly
Vancouver Whitecaps vs DC United
1:1
May 31, 2020 MLS
DC United vs Vancouver Whitecaps
0:0
Aug 18, 2019 MLS
Vancouver Whitecaps vs DC United
1:0
Jul 15, 2018 MLS
DC United vs Vancouver Whitecaps
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vancouver Whitecaps 42 / 100
DC United 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vancouver Whitecaps DC United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Vancouver Whitecaps scored in 81% of their last 32 outings.

DC United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 26 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Vancouver Whitecaps stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vancouver Whitecaps VS DC United
1.75 Goals Scored 0.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Vancouver Whitecaps

(Home)
16 Sept
CF Montreal
2 : 1
Vancouver Whitecaps
13 Sept
Vancouver Whitecaps
1 : 2
Austin FC
10 Sept
Vancouver Whitecaps
3 : 0
Los Angeles Galaxy
06 Sept
Vancouver Whitecaps
1 : 3
St. Louis City
03 Sept
Vancouver Whitecaps
1 : 1
CF Montreal
Page 1 of 7

DC United

(Away)
12 Sept
DC United
0 : 0
Atlanta United
09 Sept
DC United
2 : 1
Columbus Crew
29 Aug
DC United
0 : 0
Los Angeles FC
22 Aug
Charlotte FC
3 : 1
DC United
19 Aug
DC United
0 : 3
New England Revolution
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 24 14 4 6 53:23 46
2 Houston Dynamo 25 13 4 8 32:28 43
3 FC Dallas 25 12 7 6 49:42 43
4 San Jose Earthquakes 25 12 5 8 44:36 41
5 St. Louis City 25 11 8 6 42:35 41
6 Los Angeles FC 26 11 7 8 41:27 40
7 Colorado Rapids 25 11 2 12 33:32 35
8 Portland Timbers 25 9 5 11 47:47 32
9 San Diego FC 25 8 6 11 42:42 30
10 Los Angeles Galaxy 26 7 9 10 31:40 30
11 Real Salt Lake 24 8 5 11 37:39 29
12 Minnesota United 25 7 8 10 37:43 29
13 Austin FC 25 7 8 10 32:44 29
14 Seattle Sounders 23 7 7 9 25:30 28
15 Sporting Kansas City 24 5 3 16 26:59 18
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 25 16 6 3 50:21 54
2 Inter Miami 25 12 9 4 61:46 45
3 New England Revolution 25 13 4 8 41:31 43
4 Charlotte FC 25 11 7 7 45:36 40
5 Chicago Fire 24 11 6 7 45:35 39
6 Orlando City 25 10 4 11 44:56 34
7 Philadelphia Union 25 9 6 10 46:39 33
8 New York Red Bulls 26 9 6 11 34:48 33
9 New York City 26 8 8 10 39:34 32
10 FC Cincinnati 24 8 8 8 52:59 32
11 DC United 24 6 11 7 30:37 29
12 Toronto FC 25 6 11 8 38:46 29
13 Columbus Crew 25 6 5 14 35:42 23
14 Atlanta United 25 6 5 14 29:43 23
15 CF Montreal 25 5 6 14 31:51 21
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)