Sport Picks
Vancouver Whitecaps vs Seattle Sounders - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
North & Central America
CONCACAF Champions Cup BC Place, Vancouver, BC 
Match Events
45'
45'
Arriola P.
Assist: Ferreira J.
46'
46'
Sub
Blackmon T. In: Priso R.
Out: Blackmon T.
58'
58'
Arriola P.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 0-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
19%
30%
51%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Seattle Sounders
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Vancouver Whitecaps come out ahead of Seattle Sounders on wins alone.
- 51% — that's where the model lands on Seattle Sounders taking it.
- Vancouver Whitecaps have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Seattle Sounders, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Vancouver Whitecaps Clean Sheet 16%
Seattle Sounders Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Vancouver Whitecaps | Seattle Sounders |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 9 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.86 | 1.32 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.29 | 1.46 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 17, 2026 MLS
Seattle Sounders vs Vancouver Whitecaps
0:2
Mar 19, 2026 CONCACAF Champions Cup
Seattle Sounders vs Vancouver Whitecaps
2:1
Mar 13, 2026 CONCACAF Champions Cup
Vancouver Whitecaps vs Seattle Sounders
0:3
Sep 28, 2025 MLS
Seattle Sounders vs Vancouver Whitecaps
2:2
Jun 9, 2025 MLS
Vancouver Whitecaps vs Seattle Sounders
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Vancouver Whitecaps Compare
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Seattle Sounders Compare
Top Goalscorer Arriola P.
2 Goals Assists Leader Rothrock P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Vancouver Whitecaps 28 / 100
Seattle Sounders 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Vancouver Whitecaps Seattle Sounders
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Seattle Sounders Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Vancouver Whitecaps's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Defensive concern: Seattle Sounders conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Solid form: Vancouver Whitecaps remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Vancouver Whitecaps VS Seattle Sounders
2 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Vancouver Whitecaps
(Home) 07 Oct
Chicago Fire
3 : 1 Vancouver Whitecaps
27 Sept
Vancouver Whitecaps
3 : 3 DC United
20 Sept
Real Salt Lake
0 : 3 Vancouver Whitecaps
16 Sept
CF Montreal
2 : 1 Vancouver Whitecaps
13 Sept
Vancouver Whitecaps
1 : 2 Austin FC
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Vancouver Whitecaps
3 : 3 DC United
13 Sept
Vancouver Whitecaps
1 : 2 Austin FC
10 Sept
Vancouver Whitecaps
3 : 0 Los Angeles Galaxy
06 Sept
Vancouver Whitecaps
1 : 3 St. Louis City
03 Sept
Vancouver Whitecaps
1 : 1 CF Montreal
Page 1 of 3
Seattle Sounders
(Away) 02 Oct
Seattle Sounders
2 : 1 Sporting Kansas City
27 Sept
Seattle Sounders
3 : 1 Minnesota United
24 Sept
Seattle Sounders
2 : 0 Real Salt Lake
20 Sept
Colorado Rapids
3 : 3 Seattle Sounders
13 Sept
Los Angeles Galaxy
1 : 1 Seattle Sounders
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Colorado Rapids
3 : 3 Seattle Sounders
13 Sept
Los Angeles Galaxy
1 : 1 Seattle Sounders
22 Aug
FC Cincinnati
1 : 1 Seattle Sounders
06 Aug
Toluca
3 : 0 Seattle Sounders
02 Aug
Portland Timbers
2 : 1 Seattle Sounders
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Toluca -
TBD -
UNAM Pumas 2
San Diego FC 4
Mount Pleasant -
TBD -
Los Angeles Galaxy 1
Sporting San Miguelito 1
Cruz Azul 8
Vancouver FC 0
Monterrey 3
Xelaju 1
Alajuelense -
TBD -
Los Angeles FC 7
Real Espana 1
Inter Miami -
TBD -
Nashville SC 7
Atletico Ottawa 0
Club America 2
Olimpia 1
Philadelphia Union 12
Defence Force 0
Tigres UANL 4
Forge FC 1
FC Cincinnati 13
Universidad O&M 0
Seattle Sounders -
TBD -
Vancouver Whitecaps 2
Cartagines 0
1/8-finals
Toluca 6
San Diego FC 3
Mount Pleasant 0
Los Angeles Galaxy 6
Cruz Azul 4
Monterrey 3
Alajuelense 2
Los Angeles FC 3
Inter Miami 1
Nashville SC 1
Club America 2
Philadelphia Union 1
Tigres UANL 5
FC Cincinnati 4
Seattle Sounders 5
Vancouver Whitecaps 1
Quarter-finals
Toluca 7
Los Angeles Galaxy 2
Cruz Azul 1
Los Angeles FC 4
Nashville SC 1
Club America 0
Tigres UANL 3
Seattle Sounders 3
Semi-finals
Toluca 5
Los Angeles FC 2
Nashville SC 0
Tigres UANL 2
Final
Toluca 2
Tigres UANL 1
