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Vandra Vaprus vs Kalju II

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga 2015
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
53' Event
69' Event

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga 2015 game between Vandra Vaprus and Kalju II finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kalju II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Vandra Vaprus
20%
Draws
40%
Kalju II
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Vandra Vaprus have managed 1.45 goals a game lately — Kalju II are scoring more at 1.53.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Kalju II taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Vandra Vaprus Clean Sheet 14%
Kalju II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vandra Vaprus Kalju II
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 11 11
Draws 4 5
Losses 23 14
Goals Scored 1.45 1.53
Goals Conceded 2.74 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2015 Esiliiga
Vandra Vaprus vs Kalju II
0:5
Aug 1, 2015 Esiliiga
Vandra Vaprus vs Kalju II
0:5
Jun 7, 2015 Esiliiga
Kalju II vs Vandra Vaprus
1:3
Apr 5, 2015 Esiliiga
Kalju II vs Vandra Vaprus
1:2
Sep 17, 2014 Esiliiga
Vandra Vaprus vs Kalju II
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vandra Vaprus 10 / 100
Kalju II 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vandra Vaprus Kalju II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kalju II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Vandra Vaprus scored in 71% of their last 38 games.

Kalju II has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Kalju II lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vandra Vaprus VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vandra Vaprus

(Home)
28 Jun
Tallinna FC Zapoos
6 : 0
Vandra Vaprus
11 Aug
Tulevik
4 : 1
Vandra Vaprus
14 Nov
Vandra Vaprus
2 : 2
Laanemaa Haapsalu
06 Nov
Kalju U21
3 : 2
Vandra Vaprus
31 Oct
Legion U21
1 : 4
Vandra Vaprus
Page 1 of 8

Kalju II

(Away)
14 Feb
Kalju II
0 : 2
Nomme Utd
25 Feb
Levadia Tallinn II
4 : 3
Kalju II
18 Feb
Kalju II
3 : 3
Elva
08 Nov
Kuressaare
2 : 3
Kalju II
31 Oct
Kalju II
0 : 3
FCI Tallinn II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flora Tallinn U21 36 22 6 8 76:40 72
2 Levadia Tallinn II 36 22 5 9 118:57 71
3 FCI Tallinn II 36 20 6 10 108:48 66
4 Rakvere 36 12 11 13 52:53 47
5 Kalju II 36 14 4 18 50:56 46
6 Tallinna Kalev 36 13 7 16 47:59 46
7 Kivioli Irbis 36 13 5 18 60:87 44
8 Santos Tartu 36 12 6 18 56:83 42
9 Vandra Vaprus 36 11 5 20 43:80 38
10 Kuressaare 36 10 7 19 48:95 37
Relegation - Esiliiga 2015 (Relegation)
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2016 (Main)
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2015 (Relegation)