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Vandra Vaprus vs Kivioli Irbis - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga 2015
Sat, Sep 5, 2015
0 - 0
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vandra Vaprus host Kivioli Irbis in the Esiliiga 2015. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Vandra Vaprus have averaged 1.42 scored and 2.61 conceded recently, against Kivioli Irbis's 1.9 scored and 2 conceded. Past meetings favor Kivioli Irbis slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 12, 2015, ending 5:1. The numbers (1.48 xG vs 1.63) point toward Kivioli Irbis. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Vandra Vaprus
15%
Draws
51%
Kivioli Irbis
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kivioli Irbis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Kivioli Irbis carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Kivioli Irbis taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Vandra Vaprus Clean Sheet 14%
Kivioli Irbis Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vandra Vaprus Kivioli Irbis
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 11 13
Draws 4 4
Losses 21 13
Goals Scored 1.42 1.9
Goals Conceded 2.61 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2015 Esiliiga
Kivioli Irbis vs Vandra Vaprus
5:1
Sep 5, 2015 Esiliiga
Vandra Vaprus vs Kivioli Irbis
0:0
May 23, 2015 Esiliiga
Vandra Vaprus vs Kivioli Irbis
0:2
Apr 19, 2015 Esiliiga
Kivioli Irbis vs Vandra Vaprus
0:3
Sep 21, 2014 Esiliiga
Kivioli Irbis vs Vandra Vaprus
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vandra Vaprus 15 / 100
Kivioli Irbis 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vandra Vaprus Kivioli Irbis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kivioli Irbis Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Vandra Vaprus scored in 69% of their last 36 outings.

Defensive concern: Kivioli Irbis conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Kivioli Irbis lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vandra Vaprus VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vandra Vaprus

(Home)
28 Jun
Tallinna FC Zapoos
6 : 0
Vandra Vaprus
11 Aug
Tulevik
4 : 1
Vandra Vaprus
14 Nov
Vandra Vaprus
2 : 2
Laanemaa Haapsalu
06 Nov
Kalju U21
3 : 2
Vandra Vaprus
31 Oct
Legion U21
1 : 4
Vandra Vaprus
Page 1 of 8

Kivioli Irbis

(Away)
03 Aug
Marjamaa
:
Kivioli Irbis
08 Nov
Kivioli Irbis
1 : 0
Tallinna Kalev
01 Nov
Kivioli Irbis
3 : 0
Rakvere
25 Oct
Flora Tallinn U21
3 : 1
Kivioli Irbis
18 Oct
Kivioli Irbis
1 : 4
FCI Tallinn II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flora Tallinn U21 36 22 6 8 76:40 72
2 Levadia Tallinn II 36 22 5 9 118:57 71
3 FCI Tallinn II 36 20 6 10 108:48 66
4 Rakvere 36 12 11 13 52:53 47
5 Kalju II 36 14 4 18 50:56 46
6 Tallinna Kalev 36 13 7 16 47:59 46
7 Kivioli Irbis 36 13 5 18 60:87 44
8 Santos Tartu 36 12 6 18 56:83 42
9 Vandra Vaprus 36 11 5 20 43:80 38
10 Kuressaare 36 10 7 19 48:95 37
Relegation - Esiliiga 2015 (Relegation)
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2016 (Main)
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2015 (Relegation)