Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vanersborgs FK vs Karlstad II

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Nilsson N.
31' Event
Halawi F.
38' Event
Johansson M.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Norra Götaland game between Vanersborgs FK and Karlstad II finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vanersborgs FK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Vanersborgs FK
40%
Draws
29%
Karlstad II
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Vanersborgs FK carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Division 2 - Norra Götaland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Vanersborgs FK have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Vanersborgs FK Clean Sheet 13%
Karlstad II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vanersborgs FK Karlstad II
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 13 8
Draws 9 6
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.63 0.88
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Vanersborgs FK vs Karlstad II
3:2
Aug 22, 2021 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Vanersborgs FK vs Karlstad II
3:1
Jul 31, 2021 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Karlstad II vs Vanersborgs FK
2:4
Sep 27, 2020 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Karlstad II vs Vanersborgs FK
3:5
May 30, 2020 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Vanersborgs FK vs Karlstad II
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vanersborgs FK Compare

Top Goalscorer Nilsson N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Halawi F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Karlstad II Compare

Top Goalscorer Cehajic K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Buskqvist P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vanersborgs FK 31 / 100
Karlstad II 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vanersborgs FK Karlstad II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vanersborgs FK found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (37 games).

Karlstad II has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.60 goals per match.

Away concern: Karlstad II has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vanersborgs FK VS Karlstad II
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 25%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vanersborgs FK

(Home)
27 Jun
Motala
0 : 1
Vanersborgs FK
18 Jun
Vanersborgs FK
2 : 4
Stenungsunds IF
14 Jun
Husqvarna
3 : 1
Vanersborgs FK
05 Jun
Vanersborgs FK
1 : 3
Skara
29 May
Vanersborgs FK
2 : 3
Grebbestad
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Karlstad II

(Away)
27 Jun
Husqvarna
3 : 1
Karlstad II
21 Jun
Karlstad II
1 : 3
Motala
13 Jun
Tord
1 : 1
Karlstad II
07 Jun
Karlstad II
0 : 2
IFK Skovde
29 May
Lidkoping
0 : 2
Karlstad II
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Husqvarna15123036:1039
2Skara14103129:1733
3IFK Skovde1491430:1928
4Grebbestad1481527:2025
5Ahlafors1465331:1923
6Stenungsunds IF1453624:2218
7Motala1453618:1718
8Kumla1445515:1617
9Herrestads AIF1445523:2617
10Vanersborgs FK1444619:2416
11Lidkoping1533916:3312
12Karlstad II1424816:2610
13Tord1408615:268
14Vanersborgs IF14221016:408
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Relegation)