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Stadium Background

Vanersborgs FK vs Karlstad II

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vanersborgs FK play Karlstad II in the Division 2 - Norra Götaland. It looks like a close match. Recently, Vanersborgs FK averaged 1.38 goals scored and 2 conceded. Karlstad II averaged 0.88 goals scored and 2 conceded. In past meetings, Vanersborgs FK won 4, Karlstad II won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 14, 2026 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for Vanersborgs FK and 1.44 for Karlstad II. This points to a Vanersborgs FK double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Vanersborgs FK
39%
Draws
31%
Karlstad II
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Vanersborgs FK has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Karlstad II.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Division 2 - Norra Götaland provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Vanersborgs FK Clean Sheet 16%
Karlstad II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vanersborgs FK Karlstad II
Matches Played 37 31
Wins 13 8
Draws 9 7
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.38 0.88
Goals Conceded 2 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Vanersborgs FK vs Karlstad II
3:2
Aug 22, 2021 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Vanersborgs FK vs Karlstad II
3:1
Jul 31, 2021 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Karlstad II vs Vanersborgs FK
2:4
Sep 27, 2020 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Karlstad II vs Vanersborgs FK
3:5
May 30, 2020 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Vanersborgs FK vs Karlstad II
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vanersborgs FK Compare

Top Goalscorer Nilsson N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Halawi F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Karlstad II Compare

Top Goalscorer Cehajic K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Buskqvist P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vanersborgs FK 30 / 100
Karlstad II 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vanersborgs FK Karlstad II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VFK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vanersborgs FK scored in 84% of their last 37 games.

Karlstad II let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Vanersborgs FK went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Karlstad II lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vanersborgs FK VS Karlstad II
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Husqvarna15123036:1039
2Skara14103129:1733
3IFK Skovde1491430:1928
4Grebbestad1481527:2025
5Ahlafors1465331:1923
6Stenungsunds IF1453624:2218
7Motala1453618:1718
8Kumla1445515:1617
9Herrestads AIF1445523:2617
10Vanersborgs FK1444619:2416
11Lidkoping1533916:3312
12Karlstad II1424816:2610
13Tord1408615:268
14Vanersborgs IF14221016:408