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Vanersborgs FK vs Lidkoping

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vanersborgs FK play Lidkoping in the Division 2 - Norra Götaland. It looks like a close match. Recently, Vanersborgs FK averaged 1.63 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. Lidkoping averaged 0.88 goals scored and 2.63 conceded. In past meetings, Vanersborgs FK won 2, Lidkoping won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 17, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.13 for Vanersborgs FK and 1.69 for Lidkoping. This points to a Vanersborgs FK double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Vanersborgs FK
39%
Draws
30%
Lidkoping
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Lidkoping has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Vanersborgs FK.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Division 2 - Norra Götaland provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Vanersborgs FK Clean Sheet 13%
Lidkoping Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vanersborgs FK Lidkoping
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 9 10
Draws 9 7
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.63 0.88
Goals Conceded 2.5 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Vanersborgs FK vs Lidkoping
2:1
Jun 27, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Vanersborgs FK vs Lidkoping
1:1
Apr 25, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Lidkoping vs Vanersborgs FK
0:0
Oct 20, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Lidkoping vs Vanersborgs FK
3:0
Jun 7, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Vanersborgs FK vs Lidkoping
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vanersborgs FK Compare

Top Goalscorer Johansson M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ericsson L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Lidkoping Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdiqaadir O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vanersborgs FK 31 / 100
Lidkoping 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vanersborgs FK Lidkoping

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LID Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vanersborgs FK scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Lidkoping let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Vanersborgs FK went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Lidkoping lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vanersborgs FK VS Lidkoping
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Husqvarna15123036:1039
2Skara14103129:1733
3IFK Skovde1491430:1928
4Grebbestad1481527:2025
5Ahlafors1465331:1923
6Stenungsunds IF1453624:2218
7Motala1453618:1718
8Kumla1445515:1617
9Herrestads AIF1445523:2617
10Vanersborgs FK1444619:2416
11Lidkoping1533916:3312
12Karlstad II1424816:2610
13Tord1408615:268
14Vanersborgs IF14221016:408