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Stadium Background

Vanersborgs FK vs Motala

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Qasem K.
67' Event
Nilsson N.
84' Event
Vukaj K.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Norra Götaland game between Vanersborgs FK and Motala finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vanersborgs FK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Vanersborgs FK
28%
Draws
50%
Motala
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Motala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Motala come out ahead of Vanersborgs FK on wins alone.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Motala taking it.
  • Regular Division 2 - Norra Götaland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Vanersborgs FK Clean Sheet 14%
Motala Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vanersborgs FK Motala
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 14
Draws 9 7
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.38 1.25
Goals Conceded 2 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Motala vs Vanersborgs FK
0:1
Apr 3, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Vanersborgs FK vs Motala
2:1
Oct 18, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Motala vs Vanersborgs FK
0:1
Jun 22, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Vanersborgs FK vs Motala
1:4
Sep 22, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Motala vs Vanersborgs FK
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vanersborgs FK Compare

Top Goalscorer Nilsson N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vukaj K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Motala Compare

Top Goalscorer Qasem K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vanersborgs FK 23 / 100
Motala 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vanersborgs FK Motala

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vanersborgs FK scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Motala's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Vanersborgs FK went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vanersborgs FK VS Motala
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Husqvarna15123036:1039
2Skara14103129:1733
3IFK Skovde1491430:1928
4Grebbestad1481527:2025
5Ahlafors1465331:1923
6Stenungsunds IF1453624:2218
7Motala1453618:1718
8Kumla1445515:1617
9Herrestads AIF1445523:2617
10Vanersborgs FK1444619:2416
11Lidkoping1533916:3312
12Karlstad II1424816:2610
13Tord1408615:268
14Vanersborgs IF14221016:408