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Vanersborgs FK vs Skara Prediction & H2H Stats

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Granath V.
(Penalty)
57' Event
Zekovic H.
84' Event
Ivarsson Persson K.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Norra Götaland game between Vanersborgs FK and Skara finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Skara.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Vanersborgs FK
15%
Draws
45%
Skara
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Skara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Skara carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Skara's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Skara here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Vanersborgs FK Clean Sheet 11%
Skara Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vanersborgs FK Skara
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 18
Draws 5 6
Losses 14 4
Goals Scored 1.25 2.11
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Skara vs Vanersborgs FK
4:0
Jun 5, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Vanersborgs FK vs Skara
1:3
Sep 20, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Skara vs Vanersborgs FK
0:0
May 2, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Vanersborgs FK vs Skara
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vanersborgs FK Compare

Top Goalscorer Zekovic H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Skara Compare

Top Goalscorer Ivarsson Persson K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Granath V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vanersborgs FK 14 / 100
Skara 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vanersborgs FK Skara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Skara Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Vanersborgs FK scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.

Skara's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Solid form: Vanersborgs FK remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vanersborgs FK VS Skara
1.13 Goals Scored 2.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Vanersborgs FK

(Home)
26 Sept
Vanersborgs FK
1 : 3
Husqvarna
19 Sept
Vanersborgs FK
1 : 2
Tord
11 Sept
Stenungsunds IF
0 : 1
Vanersborgs FK
04 Sept
Vanersborgs FK
1 : 0
Ahlafors
29 Aug
Karlstad II
1 : 3
Vanersborgs FK
Page 1 of 6

Skara

(Away)
26 Sept
Grebbestad
3 : 1
Skara
19 Sept
Skara
1 : 0
Ahlafors
12 Sept
Karlstad II
1 : 4
Skara
06 Sept
Skara
5 : 0
Vanersborgs IF
29 Aug
Lidkoping
1 : 1
Skara
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Husqvarna 23 19 3 1 54:18 60
2 Skara 23 15 5 3 48:25 50
3 IFK Skovde 23 13 5 5 39:25 44
4 Ahlafors 23 11 7 5 49:26 40
5 Grebbestad 23 12 3 8 42:33 39
6 Herrestads AIF 23 9 7 7 41:41 34
7 Stenungsunds IF 23 9 6 8 42:30 33
8 Vanersborgs FK 23 8 4 11 30:39 28
9 Motala 23 6 8 9 33:32 26
10 Kumla 23 6 7 10 22:39 25
11 Lidkoping 23 6 6 11 28:42 24
12 Tord 23 3 9 11 26:42 18
13 Karlstad II 23 2 7 14 23:44 13
14 Vanersborgs IF 23 2 3 18 24:65 9
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Relegation)