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Vanersborgs FK vs Tord - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Johansson M.
(Penalty)
45' Event
Issa M.
55' Event
Svefors A.

AI Match Summary

Tord in this Division 2 - Norra Götaland matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tord.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Vanersborgs FK
15%
Draws
42%
Tord
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vanersborgs FK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Vanersborgs FK have won more games recently than Tord.
  • Win probability leans Vanersborgs FK's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Division 2 - Norra Götaland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Vanersborgs FK Clean Sheet 18%
Tord Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vanersborgs FK Tord
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 6
Draws 5 10
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.21 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Vanersborgs FK vs Tord
1:2
May 10, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Tord vs Vanersborgs FK
2:2
Oct 3, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Tord vs Vanersborgs FK
2:1
May 9, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Vanersborgs FK vs Tord
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vanersborgs FK Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Tord Compare

Top Goalscorer Issa M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Svefors A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vanersborgs FK 58 / 100
Tord 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vanersborgs FK Tord

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vanersborgs FK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Vanersborgs FK scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Tord's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

Away concern: Tord has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vanersborgs FK VS Tord
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Vanersborgs FK

(Home)
03 Oct
Lidkoping
1 : 0
Vanersborgs FK
26 Sept
Vanersborgs FK
1 : 3
Husqvarna
19 Sept
Vanersborgs FK
1 : 2
Tord
11 Sept
Stenungsunds IF
0 : 1
Vanersborgs FK
04 Sept
Vanersborgs FK
1 : 0
Ahlafors
Page 1 of 6

Tord

(Away)
04 Oct
Karlstad II
1 : 3
Tord
27 Sept
Tord
1 : 5
Stenungsunds IF
19 Sept
Vanersborgs FK
1 : 2
Tord
12 Sept
IFK Skovde
1 : 0
Tord
05 Sept
Tord
1 : 3
Husqvarna
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Husqvarna 24 20 3 1 58:18 63
2 Skara 24 16 5 3 51:26 53
3 IFK Skovde 24 14 5 5 42:25 47
4 Ahlafors 24 12 7 5 55:28 43
5 Grebbestad 24 12 3 9 43:36 39
6 Herrestads AIF 24 10 7 7 44:42 37
7 Stenungsunds IF 24 9 6 9 42:33 33
8 Vanersborgs FK 25 8 5 12 33:43 29
9 Lidkoping 24 7 6 11 29:42 27
10 Motala 24 6 8 10 35:38 26
11 Kumla 25 6 8 11 26:45 26
12 Tord 24 4 9 11 29:43 21
13 Karlstad II 24 2 7 15 24:47 13
14 Vanersborgs IF 24 2 3 19 24:69 9
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Relegation)