Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vanersborgs FK vs Vanersborgs IF

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vanersborgs FK play Vanersborgs IF in the Division 2 - Norra Götaland. It looks like a close match. Recently, Vanersborgs FK averaged 1.15 goals scored and 1.41 conceded. Vanersborgs IF averaged 1.42 goals scored and 2.42 conceded. In past meetings, Vanersborgs FK won 1, Vanersborgs IF won 1, and they drew 3. Their last match on May 1, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.19 for Vanersborgs FK and 1.31 for Vanersborgs IF. This points to a Vanersborgs FK double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Vanersborgs FK
35%
Draws
26%
Vanersborgs IF
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Vanersborgs FK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Vanersborgs FK picked up more points recently compared to Vanersborgs IF.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.19 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66%
Vanersborgs FK Clean Sheet 18%
Vanersborgs IF Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs IF
Matches Played 34 31
Wins 11 6
Draws 9 8
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 1.15 1.42
Goals Conceded 1.41 2.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Vanersborgs FK vs Vanersborgs IF
1:2
Aug 8, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Vanersborgs FK vs Vanersborgs IF
1:1
Jun 2, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Vanersborgs IF vs Vanersborgs FK
1:2
Aug 18, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Vanersborgs IF vs Vanersborgs FK
1:1
Apr 20, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Vanersborgs FK vs Vanersborgs IF
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vanersborgs FK Compare

Top Goalscorer Johansson M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Vanersborgs IF Compare

Top Goalscorer Banous S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chibeze Eze D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vanersborgs FK 39 / 100
Vanersborgs IF 25 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs IF

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Vanersborgs FK or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26%
3.23
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.3%
2.08
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Vanersborgs FK attacking → ← attacking Vanersborgs IF

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vanersborgs FK scored in 79% of their last 34 games.

Vanersborgs IF let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Vanersborgs FK went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Vanersborgs IF lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 26
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Husqvarna15123036:1039
2Skara14103129:1733
3IFK Skovde1491430:1928
4Grebbestad1481527:2025
5Ahlafors1465331:1923
6Stenungsunds IF1453624:2218
7Motala1453618:1718
8Kumla1445515:1617
9Herrestads AIF1445523:2617
10Vanersborgs FK1444619:2416
11Lidkoping1533916:3312
12Karlstad II1424816:2610
13Tord1408615:268
14Vanersborgs IF14221016:408