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Vanersborgs IF vs Grebbestad - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Henriksson A.
21' Event
Kartberg D.
29' Event
Book R.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Norra Götaland game between Vanersborgs IF and Grebbestad finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Grebbestad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Vanersborgs IF
15%
Draws
85%
Grebbestad
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Grebbestad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Vanersborgs IF haven't matched Grebbestad's recent run of results.
  • Grebbestad are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Division 2 - Norra Götaland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Vanersborgs IF Clean Sheet 10%
Grebbestad Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vanersborgs IF Grebbestad
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 13
Draws 3 4
Losses 21 12
Goals Scored 1.31 1.76
Goals Conceded 2.76 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Vanersborgs IF vs Grebbestad
1:2
Jun 18, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Grebbestad vs Vanersborgs IF
4:3
Aug 16, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Vanersborgs IF vs Grebbestad
1:1
May 23, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Grebbestad vs Vanersborgs IF
3:0
Oct 4, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Vanersborgs IF vs Grebbestad
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vanersborgs IF Compare

Top Goalscorer Kartberg D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Grebbestad Compare

Top Goalscorer Henriksson A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Book R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vanersborgs IF 10 / 100
Grebbestad 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vanersborgs IF Grebbestad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Grebbestad Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Grebbestad's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Vanersborgs IF scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Grebbestad's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Vanersborgs IF VS Grebbestad
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Vanersborgs IF

(Home)
03 Oct
Husqvarna
4 : 0
Vanersborgs IF
25 Sept
Vanersborgs IF
1 : 2
Ahlafors
20 Sept
Lidkoping
5 : 2
Vanersborgs IF
11 Sept
Vanersborgs IF
1 : 2
Grebbestad
06 Sept
Skara
5 : 0
Vanersborgs IF
Page 1 of 6

Grebbestad

(Away)
05 Oct
Herrestads AIF
3 : 1
Grebbestad
26 Sept
Grebbestad
3 : 1
Skara
19 Sept
Motala
1 : 3
Grebbestad
11 Sept
Vanersborgs IF
1 : 2
Grebbestad
06 Sept
Grebbestad
0 : 1
Lidkoping
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Husqvarna 24 20 3 1 58:18 63
2 Skara 24 16 5 3 51:26 53
3 IFK Skovde 24 14 5 5 42:25 47
4 Ahlafors 24 12 7 5 55:28 43
5 Grebbestad 24 12 3 9 43:36 39
6 Herrestads AIF 24 10 7 7 44:42 37
7 Stenungsunds IF 24 9 6 9 42:33 33
8 Vanersborgs FK 25 8 5 12 33:43 29
9 Lidkoping 24 7 6 11 29:42 27
10 Motala 24 6 8 10 35:38 26
11 Kumla 25 6 8 11 26:45 26
12 Tord 24 4 9 11 29:43 21
13 Karlstad II 24 2 7 15 24:47 13
14 Vanersborgs IF 24 2 3 19 24:69 9
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Relegation)