Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vanersborgs IF vs Kumla

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Götaland 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Andersson Segerlind J.
18' Event
Gashi V.

AI Match Summary

Vanersborgs IF host Kumla in the Division 2 - Norra Götaland 2025. Little to choose between these two on current form. Kumla have shipped 1.38 goals a game lately, while Vanersborgs IF have conceded 2.88 and scored 0.88. Past meetings favor Vanersborgs IF slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 29, 2026, ending 1:3. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 1.75, favoring Kumla. Kumla in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Vanersborgs IF
11%
Draws
80%
Kumla
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Kumla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Kumla has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Vanersborgs IF.
  • Model forecasts a 80% win probability edge for Kumla.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Division 2 - Norra Götaland 2025 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Vanersborgs IF Clean Sheet 12%
Kumla Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vanersborgs IF Kumla
Matches Played 31 34
Wins 6 10
Draws 8 12
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 0.88 0.63
Goals Conceded 2.88 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.88 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Vanersborgs IF vs Kumla
1:3
Sep 13, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Vanersborgs IF vs Kumla
1:1
Jun 6, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Kumla vs Vanersborgs IF
1:1
Aug 24, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Kumla vs Vanersborgs IF
1:1
Apr 28, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Vanersborgs IF vs Kumla
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vanersborgs IF Compare

Top Goalscorer Gashi V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Kumla Compare

Top Goalscorer Andersson Segerlind J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vanersborgs IF 11 / 100
Kumla 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vanersborgs IF Kumla

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KUM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vanersborgs IF scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Kumla let in goals in 79% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Vanersborgs IF went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Kumla lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vanersborgs IF VS Kumla
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FBK Karlstad26164662:2952
2Motala26156558:3551
3Herrestads AIF26128651:2744
4Lidkoping26128638:2544
5Ahlafors261010641:3740
6Kongahalla26107957:4237
7Skara261041240:4834
8Grebbestad26951240:4732
9Vanersborgs IF26710944:5031
10Vanersborgs FK26871126:3731
11Tord26791032:3930
12Kumla26861234:5230
13IF Haga26651526:5423
14Tidaholms26471527:5419