Sport Picks

Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Götaland

Stenungsunds IF

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Vanersborgs IF play Stenungsunds IF in the Division 2 - Norra Götaland. It looks like a close match. Recently, Vanersborgs IF averaged 1.47 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. Stenungsunds IF averaged 1.28 goals scored and 1.69 conceded. In past meetings, Vanersborgs IF won 2, Stenungsunds IF won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 26, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Vanersborgs IF and 2.44 for Stenungsunds IF. This points to a Stenungsunds IF double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Vanersborgs IF

25%

Draws

39%

Stenungsunds IF

Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Stenungsunds IF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Vanersborgs IF picked up more points recently compared to Stenungsunds IF.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 2.44 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%

Over 1.5 Goals 86%

Over 2.5 Goals 59%

Over 3.5 Goals 35%

Over 4.5 Goals 18%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%

Vanersborgs IF Clean Sheet 10%

Stenungsunds IF Clean Sheet 13%

First Half Goal 77%

Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Vanersborgs IF	Stenungsunds IF
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	6	6
Draws	7	9
Losses	17	14
Goals Scored	1.47	1.28
Goals Conceded	2.5	1.69
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.88	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland

Vanersborgs IF vs Stenungsunds IF

Possession: 51% - 44% Cards: 2 - 0

1:0

Jun 4, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland

Stenungsunds IF vs Vanersborgs IF

Possession: 52% - 42% Cards: 2 - 1

5:0

Jun 29, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Götaland

Vanersborgs IF vs Stenungsunds IF

Possession: 48% - 56% Cards: 1 - 3

1:1

Apr 6, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Götaland

Stenungsunds IF vs Vanersborgs IF

Possession: 45% - 53% Cards: 2 - 1

1:0

Sep 12, 2020 Division 2 - Norra Götaland

Stenungsunds IF vs Vanersborgs IF

Possession: 46% - 60% Cards: 1 - 2

1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vanersborgs IF Compare

Top Goalscorer Ransjo Falkstrand F.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.44

Stenungsunds IF Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82

Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vanersborgs IF 34 / 100

Stenungsunds IF 38 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Vanersborgs IF Stenungsunds IF

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Stenungsunds IF or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +28.5%

3.57

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.5%

1.89

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Vanersborgs IF attacking → ← attacking Stenungsunds IF

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vanersborgs IF scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Stenungsunds IF let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Vanersborgs IF went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Stenungsunds IF lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

25 Points in last 5 27

0.88 Goals expected (xG) 2.00

2.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Husqvarna	15	12	3	0	36:10	39
2	Skara	14	10	3	1	29:17	33
3	IFK Skovde	14	9	1	4	30:19	28
4	Grebbestad	14	8	1	5	27:20	25
5	Ahlafors	14	6	5	3	31:19	23
6	Stenungsunds IF	14	5	3	6	24:22	18
7	Motala	14	5	3	6	18:17	18
8	Kumla	14	4	5	5	15:16	17
9	Herrestads AIF	14	4	5	5	23:26	17
10	Vanersborgs FK	14	4	4	6	19:24	16
11	Lidkoping	15	3	3	9	16:33	12
12	Karlstad II	14	2	4	8	16:26	10
13	Tord	14	0	8	6	15:26	8
14	Vanersborgs IF	14	2	2	10	16:40	8