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Vanersborgs IF vs Stenungsunds IF

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Our Tip

Match Events

84' Event
Ransjo Falkstrand F.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Norra Götaland game between Vanersborgs IF and Stenungsunds IF finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vanersborgs IF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Vanersborgs IF
20%
Draws
80%
Stenungsunds IF
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Stenungsunds IF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Stenungsunds IF come out ahead of Vanersborgs IF on wins alone.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Stenungsunds IF taking it.
  • Regular Division 2 - Norra Götaland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Vanersborgs IF Clean Sheet 10%
Stenungsunds IF Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vanersborgs IF Stenungsunds IF
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 5 7
Draws 5 7
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 1.32 1.43
Goals Conceded 2.54 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Vanersborgs IF vs Stenungsunds IF
1:0
Jun 4, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Stenungsunds IF vs Vanersborgs IF
5:0
Jun 29, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Vanersborgs IF vs Stenungsunds IF
1:1
Apr 6, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Stenungsunds IF vs Vanersborgs IF
1:0
Sep 12, 2020 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Stenungsunds IF vs Vanersborgs IF
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vanersborgs IF Compare

Top Goalscorer Ransjo Falkstrand F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Stenungsunds IF Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vanersborgs IF 14 / 100
Stenungsunds IF 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vanersborgs IF Stenungsunds IF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stenungsunds IF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stenungsunds IF has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Vanersborgs IF found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Stenungsunds IF registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vanersborgs IF VS Stenungsunds IF
0.63 Goals Scored 1.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Vanersborgs IF

(Home)
11 Sept
Vanersborgs IF
1 : 2
Grebbestad
06 Sept
Skara
5 : 0
Vanersborgs IF
30 Aug
Vanersborgs IF
0 : 1
Tord
21 Aug
Herrestads AIF
3 : 0
Vanersborgs IF
17 Aug
Vanersborgs IF
0 : 2
Vanersborgs FK
Page 1 of 6

Stenungsunds IF

(Away)
11 Sept
Stenungsunds IF
0 : 1
Vanersborgs FK
05 Sept
Motala
2 : 2
Stenungsunds IF
28 Aug
Stenungsunds IF
0 : 1
Herrestads AIF
22 Aug
Grebbestad
1 : 1
Stenungsunds IF
15 Aug
Stenungsunds IF
5 : 0
Kumla
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Husqvarna 22 18 3 1 51:17 57
2 Skara 22 15 5 2 47:22 50
3 IFK Skovde 22 12 5 5 38:25 41
4 Ahlafors 22 10 7 5 47:25 37
5 Grebbestad 22 11 3 8 39:32 36
6 Herrestads AIF 22 9 7 6 41:37 34
7 Vanersborgs FK 22 8 4 10 29:36 28
8 Stenungsunds IF 21 7 6 8 35:29 27
9 Motala 22 5 8 9 29:32 23
10 Kumla 22 5 7 10 21:39 22
11 Lidkoping 21 5 6 10 23:39 21
12 Tord 22 3 9 10 25:37 18
13 Karlstad II 21 2 7 12 23:41 13
14 Vanersborgs IF 21 2 3 16 21:58 9
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Relegation)