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Vanersborgs IF vs Tord

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Götaland
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Match Events

87' Event
Svefors W.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Norra Götaland game between Vanersborgs IF and Tord finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tord.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Vanersborgs IF
15%
Draws
85%
Tord
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tord

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Vanersborgs IF's 1.34 goals per match outpaces what Tord have produced (1.14).
  • Model gives Tord a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Vanersborgs IF Clean Sheet 12%
Tord Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vanersborgs IF Tord
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 5
Draws 4 10
Losses 20 14
Goals Scored 1.34 1.14
Goals Conceded 2.66 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Vanersborgs IF vs Tord
0:1
Apr 3, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Tord vs Vanersborgs IF
3:3
Jun 29, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Tord vs Vanersborgs IF
4:0
Apr 6, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Vanersborgs IF vs Tord
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vanersborgs IF Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Tord Compare

Top Goalscorer Svefors W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vanersborgs IF 14 / 100
Tord 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vanersborgs IF Tord

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tord Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tord has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

Vanersborgs IF found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Away concern: Tord has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vanersborgs IF VS Tord
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Vanersborgs IF

(Home)
25 Sept
Vanersborgs IF
1 : 2
Ahlafors
20 Sept
Lidkoping
5 : 2
Vanersborgs IF
11 Sept
Vanersborgs IF
1 : 2
Grebbestad
06 Sept
Skara
5 : 0
Vanersborgs IF
30 Aug
Vanersborgs IF
0 : 1
Tord
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Tord

(Away)
19 Sept
Vanersborgs FK
1 : 2
Tord
12 Sept
IFK Skovde
1 : 0
Tord
05 Sept
Tord
1 : 3
Husqvarna
30 Aug
Vanersborgs IF
0 : 1
Tord
22 Aug
Skara
2 : 1
Tord
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Husqvarna 22 18 3 1 51:17 57
2 Skara 22 15 5 2 47:22 50
3 IFK Skovde 22 12 5 5 38:25 41
4 Ahlafors 23 11 7 5 49:26 40
5 Grebbestad 22 11 3 8 39:32 36
6 Herrestads AIF 22 9 7 6 41:37 34
7 Stenungsunds IF 22 8 6 8 37:29 30
8 Vanersborgs FK 22 8 4 10 29:36 28
9 Lidkoping 22 6 6 10 28:41 24
10 Motala 22 5 8 9 29:32 23
11 Kumla 22 5 7 10 21:39 22
12 Tord 22 3 9 10 25:37 18
13 Karlstad II 22 2 7 13 23:43 13
14 Vanersborgs IF 23 2 3 18 24:65 9
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Relegation)