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Vanraure vs Shonan Bellmare - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J2 League Prifoods Stadium, Hachinohe
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Match Events

44'
Fukazawa Y.
46'
Sub
Kozuki S. In: Tamura S.
Out: Kozuki S.
60'
Sub
Nakano S. In: Takao R.
Out: Nakano S.

AI Match Summary

The J2 League game between Vanraure and Shonan Bellmare finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Shonan Bellmare.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Vanraure
30%
Draws
47%
Shonan Bellmare
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Shonan Bellmare

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Vanraure haven't matched Shonan Bellmare's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular J2 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Shonan Bellmare have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Vanraure Clean Sheet 16%
Shonan Bellmare Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vanraure Shonan Bellmare
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 7 13
Draws 3 5
Losses 18 10
Goals Scored 0.75 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 J2 League
Vanraure vs Shonan Bellmare
0:1
May 6, 2026 J2/J3 League
Vanraure vs Shonan Bellmare
0:1
Feb 21, 2026 J2/J3 League
Shonan Bellmare vs Vanraure
1:0
Jul 7, 2021 Emperors Cup
Vanraure vs Shonan Bellmare
1:2
Oct 10, 2004 Emperors Cup
Shonan Bellmare vs Vanraure
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vanraure Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Shonan Bellmare Compare

Top Goalscorer Okuno H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vanraure 36 / 100
Shonan Bellmare 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vanraure Shonan Bellmare

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shonan Bellmare Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shonan Bellmare has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Attacking prowess: Vanraure scored in 43% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Vanraure stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vanraure VS Shonan Bellmare
0.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Vanraure

(Home)
10 Oct
Omiya Ardija
3 : 1
Vanraure
04 Oct
Vanraure
0 : 2
Yokohama FC
26 Sept
Iwata
1 : 2
Vanraure
18 Sept
Vanraure
0 : 3
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
12 Sept
Vanraure
0 : 1
Shonan Bellmare
Page 1 of 6

Shonan Bellmare

(Away)
11 Oct
Shonan Bellmare
1 : 1
Albirex Niigata
07 Oct
FC Tokyo
4 : 0
Shonan Bellmare
03 Oct
Fujieda MYFC
1 : 1
Shonan Bellmare
26 Sept
Imabari
1 : 2
Shonan Bellmare
19 Sept
Shonan Bellmare
1 : 1
Blaublitz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vegalta Sendai 10 7 2 1 18:8 23
2 Omiya Ardija 10 5 5 0 20:9 20
3 Albirex Niigata 10 6 2 2 14:14 20
4 Toyama 10 5 3 2 19:10 18
5 Yokohama FC 10 5 2 3 19:13 17
6 Shonan Bellmare 10 4 5 1 11:9 17
7 Oita Trinita 10 3 5 2 11:8 14
8 Fujieda MYFC 10 3 4 3 13:11 13
9 Blaublitz 10 3 4 3 12:11 13
10 Tegevajaro Miyazaki 10 3 4 3 14:14 13
11 Iwata 10 4 1 5 12:13 13
12 Tokushima 10 4 1 5 10:12 13
13 Montedio Yamagata 10 4 0 6 11:9 12
14 Iwaki 10 4 0 6 13:17 12
15 Sagan Tosu 10 3 2 5 9:12 11
16 Tochigi City 10 3 1 6 16:17 10
17 Imabari 10 3 1 6 11:19 10
18 Kofu 10 3 1 6 9:18 10
19 Vanraure 10 3 1 6 6:17 10
20 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 10 2 2 6 12:19 8
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