Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vanraure vs Tochigi City

Japan Japan

J2/J3 League Prifoods Stadium, Hachinohe
Vanraure Logo

Vanraure

0 - 1
FT
Tochigi City Logo

Tochigi City

Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Tanaka P.
Assist: Suzuki M.
65'
Sub
Unoki F. In: Takao R.
Out: Unoki F.
65'
Sub
Nakano S. In: Origbaajo I.
Out: Nakano S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tochigi City in this J2/J3 League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tochigi City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Vanraure
20%
Draws
57%
Tochigi City
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tochigi City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tochigi City lately — more wins on the board than Vanraure.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Tochigi City taking it.
  • Regular J2/J3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Tochigi City have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Vanraure Clean Sheet 10%
Tochigi City Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vanraure Tochigi City
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 7 14
Draws 3 1
Losses 19 13
Goals Scored 0.69 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2026 J.League Cup
Vanraure vs Tochigi City
0:2
Aug 15, 2026 J2 League
Tochigi City vs Vanraure
5:0
Apr 12, 2026 J2/J3 League
Tochigi City vs Vanraure
2:4
Mar 15, 2026 J2/J3 League
Vanraure vs Tochigi City
0:1
Oct 25, 2025 J3 League
Tochigi City vs Vanraure
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vanraure Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Tochigi City Compare

Top Goalscorer Tanaka P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vanraure 18 / 100
Tochigi City 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vanraure Tochigi City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tochigi City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Tochigi City conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Vanraure's goal record stands at 41% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Vanraure has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vanraure VS Tochigi City
0.5 Goals Scored 2.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Vanraure

(Home)
12 Sept
Vanraure
0 : 1
Shonan Bellmare
05 Sept
Fujieda MYFC
0 : 0
Vanraure
02 Sept
Vanraure
0 : 2
Tochigi City
29 Aug
Vanraure
1 : 0
Blaublitz
26 Aug
Omiya Ardija
2 : 0
Vanraure
Page 1 of 6

Tochigi City

(Away)
12 Sept
Toyama
0 : 0
Tochigi City
06 Sept
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
1 : 4
Tochigi City
02 Sept
Vanraure
0 : 2
Tochigi City
29 Aug
Tochigi City
1 : 3
Iwata
26 Aug
Vegalta Sendai
1 : 2
Tochigi City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vegalta Sendai 18 16 0 2 37:15 43
2 Blaublitz 18 11 0 7 23:16 35
3 Shonan Bellmare 18 11 0 7 28:20 31
4 Yokohama FC 18 10 0 8 36:28 29
5 SC Sagamihara 18 9 0 9 33:36 28
6 Thespakusatsu Gunma 18 7 0 11 27:39 23
7 Montedio Yamagata 18 8 0 10 22:25 22
8 Tochigi City 18 7 0 11 22:35 21
9 Vanraure 17 5 0 12 16:23 18
10 Tochigi SC 17 5 0 12 24:31 17
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kofu 17 11 0 6 20:12 33
2 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 18 11 0 7 28:22 31
3 Iwaki 18 11 0 7 26:20 31
4 Omiya Ardija 18 10 0 8 39:29 30
5 Fujieda MYFC 18 9 0 9 24:23 30
6 Gifu 17 9 0 8 23:25 27
7 Matsumoto Yamaga 18 8 0 10 33:25 26
8 Iwata 18 9 0 9 20:25 25
9 Fukushima United 18 6 0 12 30:43 18
10 Nagano Parceiro 18 5 0 13 17:36 16
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toyama 18 13 0 5 40:26 38
2 Albirex Niigata 18 12 0 6 24:19 35
3 Tokushima 18 11 0 7 38:23 32
4 Kochi United 18 10 0 8 25:23 30
5 Ehime 18 9 0 9 26:20 28
6 Kanazawa 18 10 0 8 20:23 27
7 Nara Club 18 7 0 11 27:36 21
8 FC Osaka 18 6 0 12 18:23 20
9 Imabari 18 6 0 12 15:21 20
10 Kamatamare Sanuki 18 6 0 12 15:34 19
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki 18 15 0 3 35:13 47
2 Kagoshima United 18 12 0 6 27:16 33
3 Sagan Tosu 18 10 0 8 26:18 32
4 Renofa Yamaguchi 18 10 0 8 27:24 29
5 Kumamoto 18 9 0 9 21:21 27
6 Gainare Tottori 18 10 0 8 24:25 27
7 Oita Trinita 18 7 0 11 19:20 22
8 Reilac Shiga 18 7 0 11 16:29 21
9 Ryukyu 18 6 0 12 17:28 17
10 Giravanz Kitakyushu 18 4 0 14 17:35 15
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)