Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vanuatu U23 vs Papua New Guinea U23

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Championship U23 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The OFC Championship U23 2019 game between Vanuatu U23 and Papua New Guinea U23 finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vanuatu U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Vanuatu U23
15%
Draws
21%
Papua New Guinea U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vanuatu U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Papua New Guinea U23 haven't matched Vanuatu U23's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Vanuatu U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Papua New Guinea U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vanuatu U23 Papua New Guinea U23
Matches Played 14 11
Wins 8 3
Draws 1 0
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 5.07 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.91
Expected Goals (xG) 4.00 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2019 OFC Championship U23
Vanuatu U23 vs Papua New Guinea U23
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vanuatu U23 32 / 100
Papua New Guinea U23 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vanuatu U23 Papua New Guinea U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Papua New Guinea U23 has conceded goals in 100% of their last 11 outings.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Vanuatu U23 found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (14 games).

Recent resilience: Vanuatu U23 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vanuatu U23 VS Papua New Guinea U23
7.75 Goals Scored 1.75
0.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Vanuatu U23

(Home)
06 Sept
New Zealand U23
8 : 0
Vanuatu U23
03 Sept
Vanuatu U23
3 : 1
Samoa U23
31 Aug
Tonga U23
0 : 4
Vanuatu U23
28 Aug
Solomon Islands U23
3 : 0
Vanuatu U23
05 Oct
Fiji U23
0 : 1
Vanuatu U23
Page 1 of 3

Papua New Guinea U23

(Away)
02 Sept
Papua New Guinea U23
0 : 2
Fiji U23
27 Aug
New Zealand U23
3 : 0
Papua New Guinea U23
28 Sept
Papua New Guinea U23
6 : 1
Tonga U23
25 Sept
Fiji U23
3 : 1
Papua New Guinea U23
22 Sept
Vanuatu U23
3 : 1
Papua New Guinea U23
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 New Zealand U23 3 3 0 0 22:3 9
2 Solomon Islands U23 3 2 0 1 13:4 6
3 Samoa U23 3 1 0 2 6:11 3
4 American Samoa U23 3 0 0 3 0:23 0
Promotion - OFC Championship U23 2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vanuatu U23 3 3 0 0 12:1 9
2 Fiji U23 3 2 0 1 7:3 6
3 Papua New Guinea U23 3 1 0 2 8:7 3
4 Tonga U23 3 0 0 3 2:18 0
Promotion - OFC Championship U23 2019 (Play Offs)