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Vanuatu United vs PNG Hekari

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Pro League
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Kaltack K.
32' Event
Joe J.
51' Event
Naime R.

AI Match Summary

The OFC Pro League game between Vanuatu United and PNG Hekari finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward PNG Hekari.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Vanuatu United
11%
Draws
9%
PNG Hekari
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Vanuatu United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • PNG Hekari carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Vanuatu United taking it.
  • Regular OFC Pro League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Vanuatu United Clean Sheet 17%
PNG Hekari Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vanuatu United PNG Hekari
Matches Played 19 30
Wins 6 9
Draws 5 4
Losses 8 17
Goals Scored 1.5 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2026 OFC Pro League
Vanuatu United vs PNG Hekari
3:1
Feb 28, 2026 OFC Pro League
Vanuatu United vs PNG Hekari
1:3
Feb 3, 2026 OFC Pro League
PNG Hekari vs Vanuatu United
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vanuatu United Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaltack K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

PNG Hekari Compare

Top Goalscorer Joe J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Naime R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vanuatu United 75 / 100
PNG Hekari 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vanuatu United PNG Hekari

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vanuatu United scored in 84% of their last 19 games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

PNG Hekari has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Vanuatu United has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vanuatu United VS PNG Hekari
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Auckland FC 214102226:1032
2South Melbourne1474340:1825
3Bula1463514:1521
4South Island United1455424:2620
5Solomon Kings1453614:2118
6Tahiti United1445520:2817
7Vanuatu United1434720:2513
8PNG Hekari14221014:298