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Vanuatu United vs PNG Hekari - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Pro League 2026
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Kaltack K.
32' Event
Joe J.
51' Event
Naime R.

AI Match Summary

The OFC Pro League 2026 game between Vanuatu United and PNG Hekari finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward PNG Hekari.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Vanuatu United
20%
Draws
23%
PNG Hekari
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vanuatu United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • PNG Hekari carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Vanuatu United taking it.
  • Regular OFC Pro League 2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Vanuatu United Clean Sheet 19%
PNG Hekari Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vanuatu United PNG Hekari
Matches Played 21 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 5 4
Losses 8 17
Goals Scored 1.62 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2026 OFC Pro League
Vanuatu United vs PNG Hekari
3:1
Feb 28, 2026 OFC Pro League
Vanuatu United vs PNG Hekari
1:3
Feb 3, 2026 OFC Pro League
PNG Hekari vs Vanuatu United
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vanuatu United Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaltack K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

PNG Hekari Compare

Top Goalscorer Joe J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Naime R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vanuatu United 85 / 100
PNG Hekari 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vanuatu United PNG Hekari

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vanuatu United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vanuatu United scored in 86% of their last 21 games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

PNG Hekari has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Vanuatu United has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vanuatu United VS PNG Hekari
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Vanuatu United

(Home)
12 Sept
Vanuatu United
1 : 0
Central Coast
09 Sept
Vanuatu United
3 : 2
Central Coast
20 May
South Melbourne
4 : 0
Vanuatu United
17 May
Bula
1 : 2
Vanuatu United
13 May
Tahiti United
2 : 2
Vanuatu United
Page 1 of 5

PNG Hekari

(Away)
13 May
Solomon Kings
3 : 0
PNG Hekari
10 May
Tahiti United
2 : 2
PNG Hekari
07 May
Vanuatu United
3 : 1
PNG Hekari
18 Apr
South Melbourne
1 : 2
PNG Hekari
15 Apr
Auckland FC 2
2 : 0
PNG Hekari
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Auckland FC 2 14 10 2 2 26:10 32
2 South Melbourne 14 7 4 3 40:18 25
3 Bula 14 6 3 5 14:15 21
4 South Island United 14 5 5 4 24:26 20
5 Solomon Kings 14 5 3 6 14:21 18
6 Tahiti United 14 4 5 5 20:28 17
7 Vanuatu United 14 3 4 7 20:25 13
8 PNG Hekari 14 2 2 10 14:29 8
Promotion - OFC Pro League 2026 (Winners stage)
Relegation - OFC Pro League 2026 (Losers stage)