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Vanuatu United vs South Melbourne

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Pro League
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Saniel A.
79' Event
Ingham O.

AI Match Summary

The OFC Pro League game between Vanuatu United and South Melbourne finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vanuatu United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Vanuatu United
28%
Draws
50%
South Melbourne
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: South Melbourne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and South Melbourne come out ahead of Vanuatu United on wins alone.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on South Melbourne taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 92%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and South Melbourne have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 92%
Over 3.5 Goals 71.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Vanuatu United Clean Sheet 10%
South Melbourne Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vanuatu United South Melbourne
Matches Played 19 35
Wins 6 19
Draws 5 4
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 2 2
Goals Conceded 2 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 OFC Pro League
South Melbourne vs Vanuatu United
4:0
Mar 15, 2026 OFC Pro League
Vanuatu United vs South Melbourne
2:0
Feb 8, 2026 OFC Pro League
South Melbourne vs Vanuatu United
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vanuatu United Compare

Top Goalscorer Saniel A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ingham O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

South Melbourne Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vanuatu United 22 / 100
South Melbourne 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vanuatu United South Melbourne

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SOU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vanuatu United found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (19 games).

Historical meetings average 4.33 goals per match.

South Melbourne has conceded goals in 71% of their last 35 outings.

Solid form: Vanuatu United remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vanuatu United VS South Melbourne
2 Goals Scored 2
2 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
80% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Auckland FC 214102226:1032
2South Melbourne1474340:1825
3Bula1463514:1521
4South Island United1455424:2620
5Solomon Kings1453614:2118
6Tahiti United1445520:2817
7Vanuatu United1434720:2513
8PNG Hekari14221014:298