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Vanuatu vs New Zealand U23

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

Pacific Games 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Pacific Games 2019 game between Vanuatu and New Zealand U23 finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Vanuatu
15%
Draws
54%
New Zealand U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: New Zealand U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and New Zealand U23 come out ahead of Vanuatu on wins alone.
  • New Zealand U23 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Vanuatu Clean Sheet 11%
New Zealand U23 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vanuatu New Zealand U23
Matches Played 35 26
Wins 14 19
Draws 6 3
Losses 15 4
Goals Scored 1.83 3.77
Goals Conceded 1.94 0.85
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2019 Pacific Games
Vanuatu vs New Zealand U23
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vanuatu 10 / 100
New Zealand U23 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vanuatu New Zealand U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick New Zealand U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vanuatu's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Solid form: Vanuatu remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

New Zealand U23 has conceded goals in 50% of their last 26 outings.

Historical meetings average 0.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Vanuatu VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
2.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vanuatu

(Home)
03 Oct
Fiji
1 : 0
Vanuatu
27 Sept
Vanuatu
4 : 1
New Caledonia
24 Sept
Solomon Islands
3 : 3
Vanuatu
21 Sept
Fiji
0 : 1
Vanuatu
18 Sept
Papua New Guinea
2 : 1
Vanuatu
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New Zealand U23

(Away)
18 Jul
Uzbekistan U23
3 : 1
New Zealand U23
09 Sept
New Zealand U23
9 : 0
Fiji U23
06 Sept
New Zealand U23
8 : 0
Vanuatu U23
30 Aug
New Zealand U23
3 : 1
Fiji U23
27 Aug
New Zealand U23
3 : 0
Papua New Guinea U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 New Zealand U23 4 3 1 0 20:1 10
2 Papua New Guinea 4 3 0 1 16:2 9
3 Vanuatu 4 2 1 1 25:2 7
4 Samoa 4 1 0 3 3:22 3
5 Tonga 4 0 0 4 0:37 0
Promotion - Pacific Games 2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Pacific Games 2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 New Caledonia 5 5 0 0 22:0 15
2 Fiji 5 3 1 1 25:7 10
3 Tahiti 5 3 0 2 19:6 9
4 Solomon Islands 5 2 1 2 30:9 7
5 American Samoa 5 0 1 4 2:36 1
6 Tuvalu 5 0 1 4 2:42 1
Promotion - Pacific Games 2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Pacific Games 2019 (Play Offs)