Sport Picks
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The World Championship 2026 game between Vanuatu and Samoa finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vanuatu.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Vanuatu's 1.69 goals per match outpaces what Samoa have produced (1.37).
- Model gives Vanuatu a 53% chance of winning this.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
- History favors Vanuatu here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Vanuatu | Samoa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 11 |
| Draws | 4 | 1 |
| Losses | 14 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.69 | 1.37 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.14 | 3.47 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 3.19 | 1.35 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Vanuatu Compare
Samoa Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Samoa conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.
Historical meetings average 5.60 goals per match.
Vanuatu's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Vanuatu went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Vanuatu
(Home)Samoa
(Away)League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New Caledonia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:4 | 7 |
| 2 | Fiji | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:4 | 5 |
| 3 | Solomon Islands | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 4 | Papua New Guinea | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5:8 | 1 |
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New Zealand | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 19:1 | 9 |
| 2 | Tahiti | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 6 |
| 3 | Vanuatu | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:11 | 3 |
| 4 | Samoa | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:15 | 0 |
