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Vanuatu vs Tonga

World World

Friendly International 2017
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Ruben J.
38' Event
Azaraiah K.
68' Event
Azaraiah K.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2017 game between Vanuatu and Tonga finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vanuatu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
Vanuatu
15%
Draws
16%
Tonga
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vanuatu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Vanuatu carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Vanuatu are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Vanuatu have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 58.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Vanuatu Clean Sheet 10%
Tonga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vanuatu Tonga
Matches Played 34 31
Wins 15 6
Draws 5 2
Losses 14 23
Goals Scored 2.5 1.16
Goals Conceded 1.85 3.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 2.04
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 14, 2019 Pacific Games
Tonga vs Vanuatu
0:14
Dec 6, 2017 Friendly International
Vanuatu vs Tonga
5:0
Sep 3, 2007 World Championship
Tonga vs Vanuatu
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vanuatu Compare

Top Goalscorer Azaraiah K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kaltack T.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Tonga Compare

Avg xG / game 1.85
Avg xA / game 1.13

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vanuatu 83 / 100
Tonga 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vanuatu Tonga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vanuatu Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Tonga conceded in 94% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 8.00 goals when they meet.

Vanuatu went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Vanuatu found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (34 games).

Scoring Trends

Vanuatu VS Tonga
0.75 Goals Scored 1.33
2.75 Goals Conceded 2.33
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Vanuatu

(Home)
09 Jun
Vanuatu
2 : 2
Fiji
06 Jun
Vanuatu
2 : 1
Fiji
23 Nov
Papua New Guinea
2 : 3
Vanuatu
20 Nov
Vanuatu
2 : 1
Solomon Islands
17 Nov
Vanuatu
2 : 0
Fiji
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Tonga

(Away)
09 Sept
Tonga
1 : 2
Samoa
05 Sept
Cook Islands
1 : 3
Tonga
31 Aug
Ba
4 : 0
Tonga
26 Mar
Cook Islands
1 : 0
Tonga
20 Mar
Tonga
1 : 4
Samoa
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