Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Varazdin vs Istra 1961

Croatia Croatia

HNL Stadion Varteks, Varaždin
Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Ahmeti D.
49'
Juric S.
57'
Sub
Juric S. In: Vuk M.
Out: Juric S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this HNL matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Varazdin
35%
Draws
31%
Istra 1961
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Varazdin lately — more wins on the board than Istra 1961.
  • Win probability leans Varazdin's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular HNL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Varazdin Clean Sheet 15%
Istra 1961 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varazdin Istra 1961
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 17 10
Draws 6 8
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.66 1.53
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 HNL
Varazdin vs Istra 1961
0:0
May 23, 2026 HNL
Varazdin vs Istra 1961
2:0
Mar 20, 2026 HNL
Istra 1961 vs Varazdin
2:1
Dec 19, 2025 HNL
Varazdin vs Istra 1961
1:3
Oct 3, 2025 HNL
Istra 1961 vs Varazdin
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varazdin 41 / 100
Istra 1961 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varazdin Istra 1961

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Varazdin's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Varazdin has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Istra 1961's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Varazdin VS Istra 1961
1.38 Goals Scored 2.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Varazdin

(Home)
19 Sept
Varazdin
0 : 0
Osijek
14 Sept
HNK Gorica
2 : 2
Varazdin
09 Sept
Zagora
0 : 4
Varazdin
04 Sept
Varazdin
0 : 0
Istra 1961
29 Aug
Varazdin
2 : 0
Rudes
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Istra 1961

(Away)
19 Sept
Istra 1961
0 : 1
HNK Gorica
13 Sept
Istra 1961
3 : 2
Rudes
08 Sept
Zagorec Krapina
0 : 5
Istra 1961
04 Sept
Varazdin
0 : 0
Istra 1961
29 Aug
Istra 1961
2 : 2
Din. Zagreb
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Din. Zagreb 7 5 1 1 17:9 16
2 Hajduk Split 8 5 1 2 16:8 16
3 Osijek 8 5 1 2 17:11 16
4 Varazdin 8 4 3 1 13:7 15
5 Rijeka 7 4 2 1 13:7 14
6 Istra 1961 8 2 3 3 14:13 9
7 Lok. Zagreb 8 2 1 5 11:16 7
8 Slaven Belupo 8 2 1 5 7:16 7
9 HNK Gorica 8 1 2 5 5:12 5
10 Rudes 8 1 1 6 10:24 4
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva NL 2027/2028 (Main)