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Varazdin vs Osijek

Croatia Croatia

HNL Stadion Varteks, Varaždin
Sat, Sep 19, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Varazdin host Osijek in the HNL. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Osijek have shipped 1.43 goals a game lately, while Varazdin have conceded 1 and scored 1.69. Head-to-head, Varazdin have won 3 to Osijek's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 17, 2026, ending 0:2. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 1.38) point toward Varazdin. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Varazdin
15%
Draws
32%
Osijek
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Varazdin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Varazdin carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Varazdin's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular HNL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Varazdin Clean Sheet 17%
Osijek Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varazdin Osijek
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 18 12
Draws 4 3
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.69 1.11
Goals Conceded 1 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 HNL
Osijek vs Varazdin
0:2
Feb 8, 2026 HNL
Varazdin vs Osijek
2:1
Dec 3, 2025 Croatian Cup
Varazdin vs Osijek
2:1
Nov 2, 2025 HNL
Osijek vs Varazdin
0:0
Aug 17, 2025 HNL
Varazdin vs Osijek
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varazdin 84 / 100
Osijek 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varazdin Osijek

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Varazdin Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Varazdin scored in 93% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Varazdin has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Osijek lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Varazdin VS Osijek
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Varazdin

(Home)
09 Sept
Zagora
0 : 4
Varazdin
04 Sept
Varazdin
0 : 0
Istra 1961
29 Aug
Varazdin
2 : 0
Rudes
22 Aug
Din. Zagreb
3 : 1
Varazdin
16 Aug
Varazdin
2 : 0
Rijeka
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Osijek

(Away)
09 Sept
Segesta
3 : 1
Osijek
05 Sept
Rijeka
4 : 1
Osijek
30 Aug
Osijek
3 : 0
Slaven Belupo
23 Aug
Hajduk Split
4 : 0
Osijek
15 Aug
Osijek
1 : 0
Lok. Zagreb
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hajduk Split 6 4 1 1 15:5 13
2 Din. Zagreb 5 4 1 0 12:3 13
3 Varazdin 6 4 1 1 11:5 13
4 Osijek 6 4 0 2 13:9 12
5 Rijeka 5 3 1 1 9:6 10
6 Istra 1961 6 1 3 2 11:10 6
7 Lok. Zagreb 6 2 0 4 8:12 6
8 Slaven Belupo 6 2 0 4 5:13 6
9 Rudes 6 1 0 5 6:19 3
10 HNK Gorica 6 0 1 5 2:10 1
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva NL 2027/2028 (Main)