Sport Picks
Match Events
31'
31'
Arlig W.
Assist: Johansson N.
62'
62'
Sub
Lindberg O. In: Komano H.
Out: Lindberg O.
66'
66'
Aguda G.
Assist: Mohammad E.
AI Match Summary
Varberg in this Superettan matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Varberg.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Varberg lately — more wins on the board than Falkenberg.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Varberg have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Varberg Clean Sheet 16%
Falkenberg Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Varberg | Falkenberg |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 17 | 15 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 8 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.83 | 1.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.23 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 1, 2026 Superettan
Varberg vs Falkenberg
2:1
May 13, 2026 Superettan
Falkenberg vs Varberg
0:3
Aug 30, 2025 Superettan
Varberg vs Falkenberg
3:2
Mar 29, 2025 Superettan
Falkenberg vs Varberg
2:2
Feb 10, 2024 Club Friendly
Falkenberg vs Varberg
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Varberg Compare
Top Goalscorer Arlig W.
1 Goals Assists Leader Dahlstrom N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Falkenberg Compare
Top Goalscorer Aguda G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Varberg 36 / 100
Falkenberg 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Varberg Falkenberg
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Falkenberg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.
Varberg scored in 77% of their last 30 games.
Falkenberg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.
Solid form: Varberg remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Varberg VS Falkenberg
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Varberg
(Home) 19 Sept
Varberg
3 : 2 Brage
14 Sept
Norrby
1 : 2 Varberg
10 Sept
Varberg
0 : 2 Norrkoping
05 Sept
Varnamo
1 : 1 Varberg
30 Aug
Varberg
3 : 1 Oddevold
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Varberg
3 : 2 Brage
10 Sept
Varberg
0 : 2 Norrkoping
30 Aug
Varberg
3 : 1 Oddevold
09 Aug
Varberg
0 : 1 Sandviken
01 Aug
Varberg
2 : 1 Falkenberg
Page 1 of 4
Falkenberg
(Away) 18 Sept
Falkenberg
0 : 0 Ostersund
13 Sept
Ljungskile
0 : 2 Falkenberg
10 Sept
Falkenberg
2 : 1 Oster
05 Sept
Oddevold
2 : 1 Falkenberg
29 Aug
Falkenberg
4 : 1 Brage
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Ljungskile
0 : 2 Falkenberg
05 Sept
Oddevold
2 : 1 Falkenberg
24 Aug
Norrkoping
2 : 1 Falkenberg
18 Aug
IFK Skovde
3 : 2 Falkenberg
01 Aug
Varberg
2 : 1 Falkenberg
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Norrkoping | 25 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 48:16 | 55 |
| 2 | Falkenberg | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 46:33 | 45 |
| 3 | Varberg | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 44:33 | 44 |
| 4 | Ostersund | 25 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 33:24 | 43 |
| 5 | Landskrona | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 39:26 | 40 |
| 6 | Sandviken | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 43:33 | 37 |
| 7 | Oddevold | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 38:34 | 36 |
| 8 | Oster | 25 | 11 | 3 | 11 | 38:38 | 36 |
| 9 | Nordic United | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 38:40 | 36 |
| 10 | Helsingborg | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 36:45 | 30 |
| 11 | Varnamo | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 33:45 | 29 |
| 12 | Ljungskile | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 31:38 | 25 |
| 13 | Norrby | 25 | 4 | 12 | 9 | 28:35 | 24 |
| 14 | Orebro | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 27:39 | 24 |
| 15 | Brage | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 39:48 | 23 |
| 16 | Sundsvall | 25 | 6 | 1 | 18 | 19:53 | 19 |
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
