Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Varberg vs Helsingborg

Sweden Sweden

Superettan Paskbergsvallen, Varberg
Mon, Oct 19, 2026
VS
05:05 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Varberg host Helsingborg in the Superettan. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Varberg at 1.83 goals for, 1.23 against; Helsingborg at 1.52 for, 1.76 against. Past meetings favor Varberg slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 19, 2026, ending 1:3. The numbers (1.69 xG vs 1.25) point toward Varberg. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Varberg
30%
Draws
23%
Helsingborg
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Varberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Varberg have won more games recently than Helsingborg.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Varberg taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Varberg Clean Sheet 19%
Helsingborg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varberg Helsingborg
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 17 10
Draws 5 7
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.83 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2026 Superettan
Helsingborg vs Varberg
1:3
Jul 28, 2025 Superettan
Helsingborg vs Varberg
1:2
May 3, 2025 Superettan
Varberg vs Helsingborg
1:0
Aug 3, 2024 Superettan
Varberg vs Helsingborg
0:3
Jun 28, 2024 Superettan
Helsingborg vs Varberg
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varberg 42 / 100
Helsingborg 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varberg Helsingborg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Helsingborg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Attacking prowess: Varberg scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Varberg went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Varberg VS Helsingborg
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Varberg

(Home)
19 Sept
Varberg
3 : 2
Brage
14 Sept
Norrby
1 : 2
Varberg
10 Sept
Varberg
0 : 2
Norrkoping
05 Sept
Varnamo
1 : 1
Varberg
30 Aug
Varberg
3 : 1
Oddevold
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Helsingborg

(Away)
20 Sept
Helsingborg
0 : 0
Norrby
14 Sept
Ostersund
1 : 0
Helsingborg
09 Sept
Landskrona
1 : 2
Helsingborg
05 Sept
Helsingborg
0 : 2
Sandviken
01 Sept
Helsingborg
1 : 1
Orebro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norrkoping 25 17 4 4 48:16 55
2 Falkenberg 25 13 6 6 46:33 45
3 Varberg 25 13 5 7 44:33 44
4 Ostersund 25 11 10 4 33:24 43
5 Landskrona 25 11 7 7 39:26 40
6 Sandviken 25 10 7 8 43:33 37
7 Oddevold 25 9 9 7 38:34 36
8 Oster 25 11 3 11 38:38 36
9 Nordic United 25 9 9 7 38:40 36
10 Helsingborg 25 8 6 11 36:45 30
11 Varnamo 25 8 5 12 33:45 29
12 Ljungskile 25 6 7 12 31:38 25
13 Norrby 25 4 12 9 28:35 24
14 Orebro 25 5 9 11 27:39 24
15 Brage 25 5 8 12 39:48 23
16 Sundsvall 25 6 1 18 19:53 19
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)