Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Varberg vs Landskrona

Sweden Sweden

Superettan Paskbergsvallen, Varberg
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Egnell A.
Assist: Capotondi C.
12'
Sakurai K.
27' Event
Nioule S.
Assist: Johansson N.

AI Match Summary

Landskrona in this Superettan matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Landskrona.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Varberg
35%
Draws
37%
Landskrona
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Landskrona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Varberg lately — more wins on the board than Landskrona.
  • 28% — that's where the model lands on Varberg taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Varberg Clean Sheet 20%
Landskrona Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varberg Landskrona
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 17 11
Draws 4 9
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.77 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 22, 2026 Superettan
Varberg vs Landskrona
2:3
Oct 6, 2025 Superettan
Landskrona vs Varberg
2:1
May 22, 2025 Superettan
Varberg vs Landskrona
4:2
Aug 26, 2024 Superettan
Landskrona vs Varberg
1:4
Jul 22, 2024 Superettan
Varberg vs Landskrona
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Varberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Nioule S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tellgren E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Landskrona Compare

Top Goalscorer Egnell A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sylisufaj E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varberg 49 / 100
Landskrona 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varberg Landskrona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Varberg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Varberg scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Landskrona has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Varberg stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Varberg VS Landskrona
2 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Varberg

(Home)
30 Aug
Varberg
3 : 1
Oddevold
25 Aug
Orebro
2 : 1
Varberg
18 Aug
Boljan
0 : 5
Varberg
15 Aug
Nordic United
0 : 0
Varberg
09 Aug
Varberg
0 : 1
Sandviken
Page 1 of 6

Landskrona

(Away)
29 Aug
Landskrona
1 : 1
Ostersund
24 Aug
Varnamo
1 : 1
Landskrona
20 Aug
Hassleholms IF
0 : 1
Landskrona
14 Aug
Landskrona
1 : 1
Oddevold
08 Aug
Oster
0 : 1
Landskrona
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norrkoping 21 15 2 4 41:13 47
2 Falkenberg 21 11 5 5 41:30 38
3 Varberg 21 11 4 6 38:27 37
4 Ostersund 21 9 8 4 30:23 35
5 Oster 21 10 3 8 32:30 33
6 Nordic United 21 8 8 5 32:30 32
7 Landskrona 21 8 7 6 27:22 31
8 Sandviken 21 8 6 7 36:29 30
9 Oddevold 21 7 8 6 34:31 29
10 Helsingborg 21 7 5 9 34:41 26
11 Norrby 21 4 11 6 25:28 23
12 Varnamo 21 6 4 11 25:38 22
13 Ljungskile 21 5 6 10 25:30 21
14 Brage 21 5 6 10 35:42 21
15 Orebro 21 4 8 9 21:33 20
16 Sundsvall 21 4 1 16 15:44 13
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)