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Varberg vs Oster

Sweden Sweden

Superettan Paskbergsvallen, Varberg
Our Tip

Match Events

2'
Adjei R.
52'
Dahlstrom N.
57' Event
Borgelin S.
Assist: Broman G.

AI Match Summary

The Superettan game between Varberg and Oster finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Varberg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Varberg
6%
Draws
4%
Oster
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Varberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Oster haven't matched Varberg's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Varberg taking it.
  • Regular Superettan form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Varberg Clean Sheet 16%
Oster Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varberg Oster
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 15 11
Draws 4 4
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 2.13 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Superettan
Varberg vs Oster
2:1
Oct 20, 2024 Superettan
Oster vs Varberg
3:4
Apr 6, 2024 Superettan
Varberg vs Oster
1:2
Feb 24, 2024 Svenska Cupen
Varberg vs Oster
1:4
Nov 13, 2022 Allsvenskan
Varberg vs Oster
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Varberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Borgelin S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sadiku E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Oster Compare

Top Goalscorer Wendt K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varberg 84 / 100
Oster 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varberg Oster

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Varberg found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (27 games).

Oster's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Varberg went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Varberg VS Oster
2.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Varberg

(Home)
18 Jul
Oddevold
2 : 4
Varberg
11 Jul
Varberg
4 : 2
Norrby
27 Jun
Varberg
2 : 1
Oster
22 Jun
Varberg
2 : 3
Landskrona
15 Jun
Norrkoping
2 : 0
Varberg
Page 1 of 6

Oster

(Away)
18 Jul
Oster
3 : 2
Brage
10 Jul
Oster
0 : 3
Lyngby
27 Jun
Varberg
2 : 1
Oster
21 Jun
Oster
1 : 3
Falkenberg
15 Jun
Sundsvall
0 : 4
Oster
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Varberg1593332:1930
2Norrkoping1592426:1029
3Falkenberg1584330:2328
4Landskrona1574422:1625
5Ostersund1574424:1925
6Nordic United1574425:2225
7Oster1572624:2523
8Helsingborg1572629:3123
9Oddevold1555528:2620
10Sandviken1554624:2319
11Ljungskile1554621:2019
12Brage1645728:2917
13Norrby1538419:2117
14Orebro1535713:2214
15Varnamo16321117:3411
16Sundsvall15301212:349
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)