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Stadium Background

Varberg vs Oster

Sweden Sweden

Superettan Paskbergsvallen, Varberg
Our Tip

Match Events

2'
Adjei R.
52'
Dahlstrom N.
57' Event
Borgelin S.
Assist: Broman G.

AI Match Summary

The Superettan game between Varberg and Oster finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Varberg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Varberg
20%
Draws
40%
Oster
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Oster haven't matched Varberg's recent run of results.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Varberg taking it.
  • Regular Superettan form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Varberg Clean Sheet 20%
Oster Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varberg Oster
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 14
Draws 5 3
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.79 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 27, 2026 Superettan
Oster vs Varberg
3:0
Jun 27, 2026 Superettan
Varberg vs Oster
2:1
Oct 20, 2024 Superettan
Oster vs Varberg
3:4
Apr 6, 2024 Superettan
Varberg vs Oster
1:2
Feb 24, 2024 Svenska Cupen
Varberg vs Oster
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Varberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Borgelin S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sadiku E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Oster Compare

Top Goalscorer Wendt K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varberg 36 / 100
Oster 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varberg Oster

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Varberg found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Oster's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Varberg went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Varberg VS Oster
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Varberg

(Home)
14 Sept
Norrby
1 : 2
Varberg
10 Sept
Varberg
0 : 2
Norrkoping
05 Sept
Varnamo
1 : 1
Varberg
30 Aug
Varberg
3 : 1
Oddevold
25 Aug
Orebro
2 : 1
Varberg
Page 1 of 6

Oster

(Away)
15 Sept
Varnamo
1 : 3
Oster
10 Sept
Falkenberg
2 : 1
Oster
04 Sept
Oster
1 : 2
Nordic United
30 Aug
Sandviken
1 : 1
Oster
25 Aug
Oster
1 : 0
Sundsvall
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norrkoping 24 16 4 4 45:15 52
2 Falkenberg 24 13 5 6 46:33 44
3 Ostersund 24 11 9 4 33:24 42
4 Varberg 24 12 5 7 41:31 41
5 Landskrona 24 10 7 7 35:25 37
6 Oddevold 24 9 9 6 37:32 36
7 Oster 24 11 3 10 37:35 36
8 Nordic United 24 9 9 6 37:36 36
9 Sandviken 24 9 7 8 39:31 34
10 Helsingborg 24 8 5 11 36:45 29
11 Varnamo 24 7 5 12 31:44 26
12 Ljungskile 24 6 7 11 29:35 25
13 Orebro 24 5 9 10 25:35 24
14 Norrby 24 4 11 9 28:35 23
15 Brage 24 5 8 11 37:45 23
16 Sundsvall 24 5 1 18 16:51 16
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)