Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Varberg vs Sundsvall

Sweden Sweden

Superettan Paskbergsvallen, Varberg
Our Tip

Match Events

37'
Johansson N.
41'
Kebbeh S.
56'
Arlig W.

AI Match Summary

The Superettan game between Varberg and Sundsvall finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Varberg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Varberg
6%
Draws
4%
Sundsvall
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Varberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Varberg carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Varberg are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Varberg Clean Sheet 68%
Sundsvall Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varberg Sundsvall
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 15 8
Draws 4 3
Losses 9 18
Goals Scored 2.13 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.25 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Superettan
Varberg vs Sundsvall
1:0
Sep 13, 2025 Superettan
Sundsvall vs Varberg
2:3
Jul 20, 2025 Superettan
Varberg vs Sundsvall
0:2
Aug 16, 2024 Superettan
Varberg vs Sundsvall
3:0
Apr 27, 2024 Superettan
Sundsvall vs Varberg
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varberg 95 / 100
Sundsvall 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varberg Sundsvall

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sundsvall has conceded goals in 93% of their last 29 outings.

Difficult form: Sundsvall registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Varberg scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Varberg VS Sundsvall
2.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Varberg

(Home)
27 Jul
Oster
3 : 0
Varberg
18 Jul
Oddevold
2 : 4
Varberg
11 Jul
Varberg
4 : 2
Norrby
27 Jun
Varberg
2 : 1
Oster
22 Jun
Varberg
2 : 3
Landskrona
Page 1 of 6

Sundsvall

(Away)
26 Jul
Sundsvall
1 : 2
Falkenberg
20 Jul
Norrby
3 : 1
Sundsvall
27 Jun
Sundsvall
0 : 2
Ostersund
21 Jun
Helsingborg
5 : 2
Sundsvall
15 Jun
Sundsvall
0 : 4
Oster
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Norrkoping16102427:1032
2Falkenberg1694332:2431
3Varberg1693432:2230
4Ostersund1675426:2126
5Nordic United1675426:2326
6Oster1682627:2526
7Landskrona1674522:1725
8Helsingborg1673630:3224
9Ljungskile1664623:2122
10Oddevold1656528:2621
11Sandviken1654725:2519
12Norrby1639421:2318
13Brage1645728:2917
14Orebro1636713:2215
15Varnamo16321117:3411
16Sundsvall16301313:369
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)