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Varbergs GIF vs Bergdalens IK Prediction & H2H Stats

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

60'
Lundh A.
60'
Lundh A.
62' Event

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2025 game between Varbergs GIF and Bergdalens IK finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Varbergs GIF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Varbergs GIF
15%
Draws
0%
Bergdalens IK
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Varbergs GIF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Bergdalens IK haven't matched Varbergs GIF's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Varbergs GIF a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Varbergs GIF here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Varbergs GIF Clean Sheet 16%
Bergdalens IK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varbergs GIF Bergdalens IK
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 4
Draws 2 3
Losses 19 23
Goals Scored 1.23 1.1
Goals Conceded 2.13 3.57
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 12, 2025 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Varbergs GIF vs Bergdalens IK
1:0
Jun 15, 2025 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Bergdalens IK vs Varbergs GIF
1:5
Jun 30, 2024 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Varbergs GIF vs Bergdalens IK
7:1
Apr 7, 2024 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Bergdalens IK vs Varbergs GIF
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varbergs GIF 84 / 100
Bergdalens IK 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varbergs GIF Bergdalens IK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Varbergs GIF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bergdalens IK's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.25 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Bergdalens IK registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Varbergs GIF scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Varbergs GIF VS Bergdalens IK
0.75 Goals Scored 0.5
2.38 Goals Conceded 5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Varbergs GIF

(Home)
19 Oct
Lindome
3 : 5
Varbergs GIF
12 Oct
Varbergs GIF
1 : 0
Bergdalens IK
06 Oct
Varbergs GIF
3 : 5
Jonsereds
26 Sept
Boljan
0 : 0
Varbergs GIF
21 Sept
Qviding
3 : 0
Varbergs GIF
Page 1 of 6

Bergdalens IK

(Away)
19 Oct
Bergdalens IK
0 : 5
BK Astrio
12 Oct
Varbergs GIF
1 : 0
Bergdalens IK
05 Oct
Bergdalens IK
2 : 3
Frolunda
28 Sept
Onsala
8 : 2
Bergdalens IK
21 Sept
Bergdalens IK
0 : 1
Boljan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Laholms 26 19 3 4 69:33 60
2 Tvaaker 26 17 6 3 70:24 57
3 Astorps 26 13 6 7 43:32 45
4 Onsala 26 13 5 8 64:41 44
5 Frolunda 26 13 3 10 50:50 42
6 Lindome 26 13 2 11 63:54 41
7 Qviding 26 11 5 10 57:48 38
8 Jonsereds 26 10 8 8 48:48 38
9 BK Astrio 26 10 6 10 55:44 36
10 Landvetter 26 10 3 13 47:55 33
11 Hestrafors 26 6 8 12 40:48 26
12 Boljan 26 6 5 15 33:59 23
13 Varbergs GIF 26 7 1 18 29:58 22
14 Bergdalens IK 26 2 3 21 25:99 9
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland 2025 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2025 (Relegation)