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Varbergs GIF vs BK Astrio

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Gulda P.
89' Event
Vrban N.

AI Match Summary

BK Astrio in this Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored BK Astrio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Varbergs GIF
15%
Draws
26%
BK Astrio
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Varbergs GIF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Varbergs GIF lately — more wins on the board than BK Astrio.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Varbergs GIF taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Varbergs GIF Clean Sheet 20%
BK Astrio Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varbergs GIF BK Astrio
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 5
Draws 2 3
Losses 19 23
Goals Scored 1.23 1.03
Goals Conceded 2.13 2.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 24, 2025 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
BK Astrio vs Varbergs GIF
3:1
May 9, 2025 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Varbergs GIF vs BK Astrio
0:2
Aug 24, 2024 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Varbergs GIF vs BK Astrio
4:2
Apr 27, 2024 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
BK Astrio vs Varbergs GIF
0:1
Aug 25, 2023 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Varbergs GIF vs BK Astrio
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Varbergs GIF Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.93

BK Astrio Compare

Top Goalscorer Gulda P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vrban N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varbergs GIF 49 / 100
BK Astrio 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varbergs GIF BK Astrio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Varbergs GIF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

BK Astrio's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 31 matches.

Varbergs GIF's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Varbergs GIF stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS BK Astrio
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 2.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Varbergs GIF

(Home)
19 Oct
Lindome
3 : 5
Varbergs GIF
12 Oct
Varbergs GIF
1 : 0
Bergdalens IK
06 Oct
Varbergs GIF
3 : 5
Jonsereds
26 Sept
Boljan
0 : 0
Varbergs GIF
21 Sept
Qviding
3 : 0
Varbergs GIF
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BK Astrio

(Away)
26 Sept
Galtabacks
3 : 6
BK Astrio
19 Sept
BK Astrio
0 : 2
Onsala
12 Sept
Kongahalla
5 : 1
BK Astrio
06 Sept
BK Astrio
1 : 2
Astorps
30 Aug
Jonsereds
4 : 2
BK Astrio
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Laholms 26 19 3 4 69:33 60
2 Tvaaker 26 17 6 3 70:24 57
3 Astorps 26 13 6 7 43:32 45
4 Onsala 26 13 5 8 64:41 44
5 Frolunda 26 13 3 10 50:50 42
6 Lindome 26 13 2 11 63:54 41
7 Qviding 26 11 5 10 57:48 38
8 Jonsereds 26 10 8 8 48:48 38
9 BK Astrio 26 10 6 10 55:44 36
10 Landvetter 26 10 3 13 47:55 33
11 Hestrafors 26 6 8 12 40:48 26
12 Boljan 26 6 5 15 33:59 23
13 Varbergs GIF 26 7 1 18 29:58 22
14 Bergdalens IK 26 2 3 21 25:99 9
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland 2025 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2025 (Relegation)