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Varbergs GIF vs Jonsereds - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Kalem Royson S.
20' Event
Johansson L.
30' Event
Andersson O.

AI Match Summary

Jonsereds in this Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jonsereds.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Varbergs GIF
20%
Draws
40%
Jonsereds
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Varbergs GIF haven't matched Jonsereds's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Varbergs GIF Clean Sheet 20%
Jonsereds Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varbergs GIF Jonsereds
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 16
Draws 2 6
Losses 19 8
Goals Scored 1.23 1.8
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 6, 2025 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Varbergs GIF vs Jonsereds
3:5
May 24, 2025 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Jonsereds vs Varbergs GIF
2:1
Aug 11, 2024 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Varbergs GIF vs Jonsereds
3:2
Apr 13, 2024 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Jonsereds vs Varbergs GIF
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Varbergs GIF Compare

Top Goalscorer Kalem Royson S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Johansson L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

Jonsereds Compare

Top Goalscorer Andersson O.
4 Goals
Assists Leader Mekic L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varbergs GIF 32 / 100
Jonsereds 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varbergs GIF Jonsereds

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.75 goals as a typical output.

Varbergs GIF's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Jonsereds conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Varbergs GIF has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Jonsereds
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Varbergs GIF

(Home)
19 Oct
Lindome
3 : 5
Varbergs GIF
12 Oct
Varbergs GIF
1 : 0
Bergdalens IK
06 Oct
Varbergs GIF
3 : 5
Jonsereds
26 Sept
Boljan
0 : 0
Varbergs GIF
21 Sept
Qviding
3 : 0
Varbergs GIF
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Jonsereds

(Away)
03 Oct
Boljan
0 : 1
Jonsereds
26 Sept
Jonsereds
1 : 1
Hestrafors
20 Sept
Astorps
2 : 0
Jonsereds
12 Sept
Jonsereds
3 : 2
Torslanda
06 Sept
Qviding
1 : 0
Jonsereds
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Laholms 26 19 3 4 69:33 60
2 Tvaaker 26 17 6 3 70:24 57
3 Astorps 26 13 6 7 43:32 45
4 Onsala 26 13 5 8 64:41 44
5 Frolunda 26 13 3 10 50:50 42
6 Lindome 26 13 2 11 63:54 41
7 Qviding 26 11 5 10 57:48 38
8 Jonsereds 26 10 8 8 48:48 38
9 BK Astrio 26 10 6 10 55:44 36
10 Landvetter 26 10 3 13 47:55 33
11 Hestrafors 26 6 8 12 40:48 26
12 Boljan 26 6 5 15 33:59 23
13 Varbergs GIF 26 7 1 18 29:58 22
14 Bergdalens IK 26 2 3 21 25:99 9
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland 2025 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2025 (Relegation)