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Varbergs GIF vs Tolo IF - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2023
Varbergs GIF Logo

Varbergs GIF

2 - 2
FT
Tolo IF Logo

Tolo IF

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2023 game between Varbergs GIF and Tolo IF finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Varbergs GIF
30%
Draws
29%
Tolo IF
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Varbergs GIF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Varbergs GIF carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Varbergs GIF Clean Sheet 14%
Tolo IF Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varbergs GIF Tolo IF
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 9 7
Draws 4 10
Losses 20 13
Goals Scored 1.27 1.23
Goals Conceded 2.12 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 13, 2023 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Varbergs GIF vs Tolo IF
2:2
Apr 16, 2023 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Tolo IF vs Varbergs GIF
3:2
Sep 24, 2022 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Tolo IF vs Varbergs GIF
1:1
May 26, 2022 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Varbergs GIF vs Tolo IF
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varbergs GIF 31 / 100
Tolo IF 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varbergs GIF Tolo IF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Varbergs GIF scored in 64% of their last 33 outings.

Tolo IF let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Varbergs GIF has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Varbergs GIF VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Varbergs GIF

(Home)
19 Oct
Lindome
3 : 5
Varbergs GIF
12 Oct
Varbergs GIF
1 : 0
Bergdalens IK
06 Oct
Varbergs GIF
3 : 5
Jonsereds
26 Sept
Boljan
0 : 0
Varbergs GIF
21 Sept
Qviding
3 : 0
Varbergs GIF
Page 1 of 7

Tolo IF

(Away)
22 Oct
Tolo IF
0 : 1
Savedalen
14 Oct
Husqvarna
1 : 1
Tolo IF
08 Oct
Tolo IF
1 : 1
Laholms
30 Sept
Tolo IF
2 : 0
Lindome
23 Sept
Nassjo
3 : 2
Tolo IF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Onsala 26 16 2 8 51:29 50
2 Frolunda 26 15 5 6 49:38 50
3 BK Astrio 26 15 4 7 40:24 49
4 Tord 26 13 3 10 49:39 42
5 Varbergs GIF 26 12 5 9 45:42 41
6 Husqvarna 26 11 6 9 47:33 39
7 Laholms 26 11 3 12 36:39 36
8 Qviding 26 10 4 12 56:52 34
9 Lindome 26 10 3 13 44:46 33
10 Landvetter 26 9 5 12 35:47 32
11 Savedalen 26 9 4 13 37:45 31
12 Hittarp 26 8 7 11 43:59 31
13 Tolo IF 26 7 9 10 32:38 30
14 Nassjo 26 3 6 17 25:58 15
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland 2023 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2023 (Relegation)