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Vardar Negotino vs Osogovo

World World

Club Friendly
Fri, Feb 13, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vardar Negotino host Osogovo in the Club Friendly. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Osogovo have shipped 1.1 goals a game lately, while Vardar Negotino have conceded 3.48 and scored 1.17. Head-to-head, Vardar Negotino have won 1 to Osogovo's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on May 10, 2026, ending 0:4. The numbers (1.60 xG vs 3.44) point toward Osogovo. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Vardar Negotino
20%
Draws
32%
Osogovo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vardar Negotino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Osogovo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Osogovo's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Vardar Negotino Clean Sheet 10%
Osogovo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vardar Negotino Osogovo
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 5 12
Draws 4 8
Losses 20 10
Goals Scored 1.17 1.47
Goals Conceded 3.48 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 3.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 2. MFL
Vardar Negotino vs Osogovo
0:4
Feb 13, 2026 Club Friendly
Vardar Negotino vs Osogovo
0:0
Nov 21, 2025 2. MFL
Osogovo vs Vardar Negotino
5:1
Jul 26, 2025 Club Friendly
Vardar Negotino vs Osogovo
0:2
Feb 15, 2025 2. MFL
Vardar Negotino vs Osogovo
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vardar Negotino 10 / 100
Osogovo 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vardar Negotino Osogovo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Osogovo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vardar Negotino's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Osogovo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Osogovo's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Vardar Negotino VS Osogovo
1.83 Goals Scored 2.38
4.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Vardar Negotino

(Home)
23 May
Vardar Negotino
0 : 5
Kozuf Gevgelija
16 May
Pobeda
3 : 5
Vardar Negotino
10 May
Vardar Negotino
0 : 4
Osogovo
02 May
Shkendija Haracine
8 : 2
Vardar Negotino
25 Apr
Vardar Negotino
1 : 4
Belasica Strumica
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Osogovo

(Away)
19 Sept
Teteks
0 : 0
Osogovo
13 Sept
Osogovo
0 : 1
Kozuf Gevgelija
09 Sept
Osogovo
1 : 3
Belasica Strumica
05 Sept
Detonit Plackovica
2 : 1
Osogovo
29 Aug
Osogovo
0 : 0
Novaci
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