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Vardar Negotino vs Rabotnicki - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North Macedonia North Macedonia

Macedonian Cup
Wed, Oct 14, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Macedonian Cup. Rabotnicki are expected to control this from the start. Vardar Negotino have averaged 1.18 scored and 3.32 conceded recently, against Rabotnicki's 1.59 scored and 1.37 conceded. Head-to-head, Vardar Negotino have won 0 to Rabotnicki's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Jul 19, 2016, ending 1:5. Model xG sits at 1.32 vs 3.19, favoring Rabotnicki. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Vardar Negotino
15%
Draws
65%
Rabotnicki
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rabotnicki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Rabotnicki carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on Rabotnicki taking it.
  • Rabotnicki arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Rabotnicki, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 65%
Over 4.5 Goals 29%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Vardar Negotino Clean Sheet 10%
Rabotnicki Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vardar Negotino Rabotnicki
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 5 14
Draws 4 3
Losses 19 10
Goals Scored 1.18 1.59
Goals Conceded 3.32 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.32 3.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2016 Club Friendly
Vardar Negotino vs Rabotnicki
1:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vardar Negotino 10 / 100
Rabotnicki 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vardar Negotino Rabotnicki

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rabotnicki Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Vardar Negotino scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Rabotnicki conceded in 63% of 27 recent games.

Solid form: Vardar Negotino remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vardar Negotino VS Rabotnicki
1.4 Goals Scored 2.38
4 Goals Conceded 1.25
80% Over 1.5 75%
80% Over 2.5 75%
80% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Vardar Negotino

(Home)
23 May
Vardar Negotino
0 : 5
Kozuf Gevgelija
16 May
Pobeda
3 : 5
Vardar Negotino
10 May
Vardar Negotino
0 : 4
Osogovo
02 May
Shkendija Haracine
8 : 2
Vardar Negotino
25 Apr
Vardar Negotino
1 : 4
Belasica Strumica
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Rabotnicki

(Away)
02 Oct
Rabotnicki
1 : 1
Tikves
24 Sept
Teteks
0 : 1
Rabotnicki
19 Sept
Makedonija GP
0 : 1
Rabotnicki
06 Sept
Pelister
2 : 0
Rabotnicki
29 Aug
Rabotnicki
1 : 0
Gorno Lisice
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Ovce Pole 0
Vardar 5
BVK Konjare 0
Bashkimi 5
Studenicani 1
Pelister 6
Venec Negotino 0
Brera Strumica 8
Vellazerimi 0
Makedonija GP 14
Vardar Negotino -
Rabotnicki -
Kamenica Sasa 1
Shkupi 0
Teteks 1
Bregalnica Stip 4
Kozuf Gevgelija 0
FK Skopje 1
Detonit Plackovica 1
Shkendija Haracine 3
Novaci 1
Ohrid 0
Osogovo 1
Belasica Strumica 3
Krosu Sport Bitola 0
Tikves 13
Mogila 0
Arsimi 12
Pobeda Valandovo 1
Struga 10
Sileks -
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1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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