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Vardar vs Shkendija Haracine - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North Macedonia North Macedonia

1. MFL
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Mehmed A.
46' Event
Nikolov B.
57'
Babunski D.

AI Match Summary

The 1. MFL game between Vardar and Shkendija Haracine finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vardar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Vardar
20%
Draws
42%
Shkendija Haracine
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Shkendija Haracine

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vardar come out ahead of Shkendija Haracine on wins alone.
  • 38% — that's where the model lands on Vardar taking it.
  • Regular 1. MFL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Vardar Clean Sheet 18%
Shkendija Haracine Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vardar Shkendija Haracine
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 18 16
Draws 5 6
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 2.07 1.86
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 1. MFL
Vardar vs Shkendija Haracine
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vardar Compare

Top Goalscorer Nikolov B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zakaric G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Shkendija Haracine Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vardar 85 / 100
Shkendija Haracine 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vardar Shkendija Haracine

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vardar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vardar scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: Vardar stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Shkendija Haracine conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Vardar VS Shkendija Haracine
2.13 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Vardar

(Home)
19 Sept
Vardar
2 : 0
Shkendija Haracine
12 Sept
Bashkimi
3 : 3
Vardar
07 Sept
Vardar
2 : 0
Arsimi
03 Sept
Ovce Pole
0 : 5
Vardar
31 Aug
Tikves
1 : 1
Vardar
Page 1 of 6

Shkendija Haracine

(Away)
19 Sept
Vardar
2 : 0
Shkendija Haracine
14 Sept
Shkendija Haracine
1 : 0
FK Skopje
09 Sept
Detonit Plackovica
1 : 3
Shkendija Haracine
04 Sept
Bregalnica Stip
0 : 1
Shkendija Haracine
30 Aug
Bashkimi
1 : 2
Shkendija Haracine
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shkendija Tetovo 8 6 1 1 20:8 19
2 Struga 8 5 2 1 19:5 17
3 Vardar 8 4 2 2 14:8 14
4 Tikves 8 3 4 1 17:7 13
5 Shkendija Haracine 8 4 1 3 6:9 13
6 Bregalnica Stip 8 3 1 4 11:13 10
7 Sileks 8 2 3 3 13:10 9
8 Arsimi 8 2 2 4 6:19 8
9 Bashkimi 8 1 1 6 7:25 4
10 FK Skopje 8 0 3 5 3:12 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. MFL (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. MFL 2027/2028 (Main)