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Vardar vs Sileks

North Macedonia North Macedonia

1. MFL 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Cvetkovic S.
16'
Buturovic E.
17' Event
Zakaric G.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Vardar in this 1. MFL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vardar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Vardar
15%
Draws
53%
Sileks
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sileks

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vardar lately — more wins on the board than Sileks.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Sileks taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Vardar here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Vardar Clean Sheet 10%
Sileks Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vardar Sileks
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 19 15
Draws 4 6
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 2 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 1. MFL
Vardar vs Sileks
2:1
Mar 9, 2026 1. MFL
Sileks vs Vardar
0:1
Oct 31, 2025 1. MFL
Vardar vs Sileks
2:1
Mar 9, 2025 1. MFL
Sileks vs Vardar
1:1
Feb 26, 2025 Macedonian Cup
Vardar vs Sileks
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vardar Compare

Top Goalscorer Cvetkovic S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Sileks Compare

Top Goalscorer Buturovic E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vardar 10 / 100
Sileks 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vardar Sileks

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SIL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Vardar scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Sileks has conceded goals in 52% of their last 31 outings.

Vardar has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vardar VS Sileks
2 Goals Scored 1.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Vardar

(Home)
28 Jul
Riga FC
5 : 2
Vardar
25 Jul
Vardar
2 : 0
Bregalnica Stip
22 Jul
Vardar
2 : 3
Riga FC
14 Jul
KuPS
2 : 3
Vardar
07 Jul
Vardar
0 : 2
KuPS
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Sileks

(Away)
07 Aug
Shkendija Haracine
1 : 1
Sileks
26 Jul
Sileks
6 : 0
Bashkimi
16 Jul
Sileks
0 : 2
Din. Minsk
09 Jul
Din. Minsk
0 : 1
Sileks
02 Jul
Sileks
4 : 0
FC Ballkani
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vardar 33 26 5 2 80:21 83
2 Shkendija Tetovo 33 23 5 5 67:30 74
3 Struga 33 19 5 9 68:28 62
4 Sileks 33 16 5 12 59:36 53
5 Tikves 33 14 6 13 59:47 48
6 Arsimi 33 13 7 13 50:53 46
7 Bashkimi 33 11 9 13 40:54 42
8 Pelister 33 10 10 13 41:42 40
9 Brera Strumica 33 10 10 13 46:56 40
10 Makedonija GP 33 9 7 17 42:57 34
11 Rabotnicki 33 9 6 18 45:58 33
12 Shkupi 33 0 1 32 15:130 1
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. MFL 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. MFL (Main)