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Vardar vs Sileks - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North Macedonia North Macedonia

1. MFL 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Cvetkovic S.
16'
Buturovic E.
17' Event
Zakaric G.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Vardar in this 1. MFL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vardar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%
Vardar
35%
Draws
10%
Sileks
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Vardar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

55% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vardar lately — more wins on the board than Sileks.
  • 55% — that's where the model lands on Vardar taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Vardar here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Vardar Clean Sheet 68%
Sileks Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vardar Sileks
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 11
Draws 5 7
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 2.1 1.41
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 24, 2026 1. MFL
Vardar vs Sileks
4:1
May 9, 2026 1. MFL
Vardar vs Sileks
2:1
Mar 9, 2026 1. MFL
Sileks vs Vardar
0:1
Oct 31, 2025 1. MFL
Vardar vs Sileks
2:1
Mar 9, 2025 1. MFL
Sileks vs Vardar
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vardar Compare

Top Goalscorer Cvetkovic S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Sileks Compare

Top Goalscorer Buturovic E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vardar 95 / 100
Sileks 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vardar Sileks

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vardar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vardar has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Vardar's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Sileks registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vardar VS Sileks
2 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Vardar

(Home)
19 Sept
Vardar
2 : 0
Shkendija Haracine
12 Sept
Bashkimi
3 : 3
Vardar
07 Sept
Vardar
2 : 0
Arsimi
03 Sept
Ovce Pole
0 : 5
Vardar
31 Aug
Tikves
1 : 1
Vardar
Page 1 of 6

Sileks

(Away)
18 Sept
Sileks
0 : 0
Tikves
13 Sept
Sileks
2 : 2
Bregalnica Stip
07 Sept
Struga
1 : 0
Sileks
28 Aug
Sileks
0 : 2
Shkendija Tetovo
24 Aug
Vardar
4 : 1
Sileks
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vardar 33 26 5 2 80:21 83
2 Shkendija Tetovo 33 23 5 5 67:30 74
3 Struga 33 19 5 9 68:28 62
4 Sileks 33 16 5 12 59:36 53
5 Tikves 33 14 6 13 59:47 48
6 Arsimi 33 13 7 13 50:53 46
7 Bashkimi 33 11 9 13 40:54 42
8 Pelister 33 10 10 13 41:42 40
9 Brera Strumica 33 10 10 13 46:56 40
10 Makedonija GP 33 9 7 17 42:57 34
11 Rabotnicki 33 9 6 18 45:58 33
12 Shkupi 33 0 1 32 15:130 1
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. MFL 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. MFL (Main)