Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vardari Forino vs Drita

North Macedonia North Macedonia

2. MFL 2020/2021
Sat, May 8, 2021
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vardari Forino host Drita in the 2. MFL 2020/2021. Little to choose between these two on current form. Vardari Forino have averaged 0 scored and 0.38 conceded recently, against Drita's 1.63 scored and 1.38 conceded. Head-to-head, Vardari Forino have won 1 to Drita's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on May 8, 2021, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.29 xG vs 1.00) point toward Drita. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Vardari Forino
20%
Draws
64%
Drita
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Drita

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

16% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Drita lately — more wins on the board than Vardari Forino.
  • Model gives Vardari Forino a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 2. MFL 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Vardari Forino Clean Sheet 20%
Drita Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vardari Forino Drita
Matches Played 21 28
Wins 4 7
Draws 4 9
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 0 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2021 2. MFL
Vardari Forino vs Drita
0:0
Nov 8, 2020 2. MFL
Vardari Forino vs Drita
0:0
Aug 22, 2020 2. MFL
Drita vs Vardari Forino
1:1
Feb 29, 2020 2. MFL
Vardari Forino vs Drita
2:0
Sep 28, 2019 2. MFL
Drita vs Vardari Forino
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vardari Forino 58 / 100
Drita 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vardari Forino Drita

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Drita has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Drita's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Vardari Forino scored in 48% of their last 21 games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Vardari Forino VS Drita
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
13% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Vardari Forino

(Home)
06 Mar
Veleshta
3 : 0
Vardari Forino
27 Feb
Vardari Forino
0 : 3
KF Gostivar
13 Dec
Teteks
3 : 1
Vardari Forino
05 Dec
Vardari Forino
0 : 1
Ohrid
28 Nov
Kadino Skopje
1 : 1
Vardari Forino
Page 1 of 5

Drita

(Away)
26 Mar
Drita
2 : 5
Arsimi
15 May
Drita
3 : 4
FK Korab
01 May
Vellazerimi
2 : 2
Drita
24 Apr
Drita
1 : 0
Teteks
17 Apr
Kadino Skopje
2 : 1
Drita
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bregalnica Stip 27 23 4 0 73:18 73
2 Tikves 27 18 7 2 59:23 61
3 FK Pehchevo 27 12 6 9 41:33 42
4 Sloga Vinica 27 9 9 9 33:34 36
5 Kozuf Gevgelija 27 9 9 9 29:35 36
6 Kamenica Sasa 27 9 8 10 35:32 35
7 Osogovo 27 7 8 12 32:43 29
8 Pobeda 27 6 9 12 30:35 27
9 Plackovica 27 5 7 15 20:42 21
10 Rosoman 83 27 2 3 22 26:83 9
Promotion - 1. MFL 2021/2022 (Main)
Promotion - 1. MFL 2020/2021 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. MFL 2020/2021 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Skopje 26 18 6 2 50:20 60
2 Ohrid 26 13 7 6 26:13 46
3 Veleshta 26 13 7 6 32:23 46
4 KF Gostivar 26 12 7 7 33:30 43
5 FK Korab 26 10 6 10 28:27 36
6 Kadino Skopje 26 7 7 12 24:24 28
7 Vellazerimi 26 7 6 13 26:34 27
8 Teteks 26 8 3 15 19:34 27
9 Drita 26 4 9 13 28:41 21
10 Vardari Forino 18 3 4 11 15:35 10
Promotion - 1. MFL 2021/2022 (Main)
Promotion - 1. MFL 2020/2021 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. MFL 2020/2021 (Relegation)