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Vardari Forino vs KF Gostivar

North Macedonia North Macedonia

2. MFL 2020/2021
Sat, Feb 27, 2021
0 - 3
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vardari Forino host KF Gostivar in the 2. MFL 2020/2021. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Vardari Forino at 1.1 goals for, 2.05 against; KF Gostivar at 1.06 for, 1.06 against. Head-to-head, Vardari Forino have won 0 to KF Gostivar's 2, with 3 draws. They last met on Apr 3, 2021, ending 0:0. The numbers (0.79 xG vs 0.86) point toward KF Gostivar. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Vardari Forino
15%
Draws
0%
KF Gostivar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vardari Forino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to KF Gostivar lately — more wins on the board than Vardari Forino.
  • Vardari Forino are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular 2. MFL 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
Vardari Forino Clean Sheet 20%
KF Gostivar Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vardari Forino KF Gostivar
Matches Played 21 32
Wins 4 14
Draws 4 7
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.1 1.06
Goals Conceded 2.05 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2021 2. MFL
KF Gostivar vs Vardari Forino
0:0
Feb 27, 2021 2. MFL
Vardari Forino vs KF Gostivar
0:3
Oct 17, 2020 2. MFL
KF Gostivar vs Vardari Forino
1:0
Mar 14, 2020 2. MFL
Vardari Forino vs KF Gostivar
0:0
Oct 12, 2019 2. MFL
KF Gostivar vs Vardari Forino
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vardari Forino 85 / 100
KF Gostivar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vardari Forino KF Gostivar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vardari Forino Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Difficult form: KF Gostivar registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Vardari Forino scored in 48% of their last 21 outings.

KF Gostivar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS KF Gostivar
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.38
0% Over 1.5 13%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vardari Forino

(Home)
06 Mar
Veleshta
3 : 0
Vardari Forino
27 Feb
Vardari Forino
0 : 3
KF Gostivar
13 Dec
Teteks
3 : 1
Vardari Forino
05 Dec
Vardari Forino
0 : 1
Ohrid
28 Nov
Kadino Skopje
1 : 1
Vardari Forino
Page 1 of 5

KF Gostivar

(Away)
18 May
Vardar
3 : 0
KF Gostivar
11 May
KF Gostivar
0 : 3
Shkendija Tetovo
07 May
Sileks
3 : 0
KF Gostivar
04 May
KF Gostivar
0 : 3
Pelister
27 Apr
KF Gostivar
0 : 3
Rabotnicki
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bregalnica Stip 27 23 4 0 73:18 73
2 Tikves 27 18 7 2 59:23 61
3 FK Pehchevo 27 12 6 9 41:33 42
4 Sloga Vinica 27 9 9 9 33:34 36
5 Kozuf Gevgelija 27 9 9 9 29:35 36
6 Kamenica Sasa 27 9 8 10 35:32 35
7 Osogovo 27 7 8 12 32:43 29
8 Pobeda 27 6 9 12 30:35 27
9 Plackovica 27 5 7 15 20:42 21
10 Rosoman 83 27 2 3 22 26:83 9
Promotion - 1. MFL 2021/2022 (Main)
Promotion - 1. MFL 2020/2021 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. MFL 2020/2021 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Skopje 26 18 6 2 50:20 60
2 Ohrid 26 13 7 6 26:13 46
3 Veleshta 26 13 7 6 32:23 46
4 KF Gostivar 26 12 7 7 33:30 43
5 FK Korab 26 10 6 10 28:27 36
6 Kadino Skopje 26 7 7 12 24:24 28
7 Vellazerimi 26 7 6 13 26:34 27
8 Teteks 26 8 3 15 19:34 27
9 Drita 26 4 9 13 28:41 21
10 Vardari Forino 18 3 4 11 15:35 10
Promotion - 1. MFL 2021/2022 (Main)
Promotion - 1. MFL 2020/2021 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. MFL 2020/2021 (Relegation)