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Vardari Forino vs Ohrid - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North Macedonia North Macedonia

2. MFL 2020/2021
Sun, Mar 21, 2021
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vardari Forino host Ohrid in the 2. MFL 2020/2021. Ohrid go into this one as the clear favorite. Vardari Forino have averaged 1.1 scored and 2.05 conceded recently, against Ohrid's 2.1 scored and 0.8 conceded. Past meetings favor Ohrid slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 21, 2021, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.04 - 1.36) back Ohrid to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Vardari Forino
15%
Draws
76%
Ohrid
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ohrid

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ohrid lately — more wins on the board than Vardari Forino.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Vardari Forino Clean Sheet 18%
Ohrid Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vardari Forino Ohrid
Matches Played 21 30
Wins 4 19
Draws 4 4
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.1 2.1
Goals Conceded 2.05 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2021 2. MFL
Vardari Forino vs Ohrid
0:0
Dec 5, 2020 2. MFL
Vardari Forino vs Ohrid
0:1
Oct 4, 2020 2. MFL
Ohrid vs Vardari Forino
1:0
Mar 7, 2020 2. MFL
Ohrid vs Vardari Forino
1:0
Oct 6, 2019 2. MFL
Vardari Forino vs Ohrid
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vardari Forino 32 / 100
Ohrid 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vardari Forino Ohrid

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ohrid Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Vardari Forino's goal record stands at 48% scoring rate across 21 recent games.

Ohrid let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Vardari Forino went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ohrid
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Vardari Forino

(Home)
06 Mar
Veleshta
3 : 0
Vardari Forino
27 Feb
Vardari Forino
0 : 3
KF Gostivar
13 Dec
Teteks
3 : 1
Vardari Forino
05 Dec
Vardari Forino
0 : 1
Ohrid
28 Nov
Kadino Skopje
1 : 1
Vardari Forino
Page 1 of 5

Ohrid

(Away)
24 Sept
Detonit Plackovica
0 : 2
Ohrid
19 Sept
Pelister
1 : 0
Ohrid
13 Sept
Ohrid
2 : 1
Gorno Lisice
09 Sept
Novaci
1 : 0
Ohrid
05 Sept
Teteks
0 : 3
Ohrid
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bregalnica Stip 27 23 4 0 73:18 73
2 Tikves 27 18 7 2 59:23 61
3 FK Pehchevo 27 12 6 9 41:33 42
4 Sloga Vinica 27 9 9 9 33:34 36
5 Kozuf Gevgelija 27 9 9 9 29:35 36
6 Kamenica Sasa 27 9 8 10 35:32 35
7 Osogovo 27 7 8 12 32:43 29
8 Pobeda 27 6 9 12 30:35 27
9 Plackovica 27 5 7 15 20:42 21
10 Rosoman 83 27 2 3 22 26:83 9
Promotion - 1. MFL 2021/2022 (Main)
Promotion - 1. MFL 2020/2021 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. MFL 2020/2021 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Skopje 26 18 6 2 50:20 60
2 Ohrid 26 13 7 6 26:13 46
3 Veleshta 26 13 7 6 32:23 46
4 KF Gostivar 26 12 7 7 33:30 43
5 FK Korab 26 10 6 10 28:27 36
6 Kadino Skopje 26 7 7 12 24:24 28
7 Vellazerimi 26 7 6 13 26:34 27
8 Teteks 26 8 3 15 19:34 27
9 Drita 26 4 9 13 28:41 21
10 Vardari Forino 18 3 4 11 15:35 10
Promotion - 1. MFL 2021/2022 (Main)
Promotion - 1. MFL 2020/2021 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. MFL 2020/2021 (Relegation)