Sport Picks
Vardari Forino vs Vardar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
North Macedonia
Macedonian Cup 2020/2021 
Match Events
38'
38'
Blazevski D.
(Penalty)
57'
57'
Petkovski F.
72'
72'
Aliu A.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Vardar in this Macedonian Cup 2020/2021 tie, finishing 2-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
6%
30%
64%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vardar
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Vardar lately — more wins on the board than Vardari Forino.
- Model gives Vardar a 64% chance of winning this.
- Vardar arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Vardar, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Vardari Forino Clean Sheet 16%
Vardar Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Vardari Forino | Vardar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 21 | 30 |
| Wins | 4 | 18 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 13 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 2.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.05 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.10 | 1.49 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 22, 2020 Macedonian Cup
Vardari Forino vs Vardar
2:3
Aug 22, 2018 Macedonian Cup
Vardari Forino vs Vardar
0:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Vardari Forino Compare
Top Goalscorer Aliu A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55
Vardar Compare
Top Goalscorer Petkovski F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Vardari Forino 11 / 100
Vardar 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Vardari Forino Vardar
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Vardar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.
Vardari Forino found the back of the net in 48% of recent matches (21 games).
Vardar let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.
Recent resilience: Vardari Forino stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Vardar
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Vardari Forino
(Home) 06 Mar
Veleshta
3 : 0 Vardari Forino
27 Feb
Vardari Forino
0 : 3 KF Gostivar
13 Dec
Teteks
3 : 1 Vardari Forino
05 Dec
Vardari Forino
0 : 1 Ohrid
28 Nov
Kadino Skopje
1 : 1 Vardari Forino
Page 1 of 5
27 Feb
Vardari Forino
0 : 3 KF Gostivar
05 Dec
Vardari Forino
0 : 1 Ohrid
25 Nov
Vardari Forino
0 : 1 FK Korab
21 Nov
Vardari Forino
0 : 3 Vellazerimi
08 Nov
Vardari Forino
0 : 0 Drita
Page 1 of 2
Vardar
(Away) 19 Sept
Vardar
2 : 0 Shkendija Haracine
12 Sept
Bashkimi
3 : 3 Vardar
07 Sept
Vardar
2 : 0 Arsimi
03 Sept
Ovce Pole
0 : 5 Vardar
31 Aug
Tikves
1 : 1 Vardar
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Bashkimi
3 : 3 Vardar
03 Sept
Ovce Pole
0 : 5 Vardar
31 Aug
Tikves
1 : 1 Vardar
16 Aug
Struga
1 : 0 Vardar
28 Jul
Riga FC
5 : 2 Vardar
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Bregalnica Stip -
TBD -
Rosoman 83 1
Belasica Strumica 5
Pobeda 0
Makedonija GP 1
Kamenica Sasa 3
Borec 2
Brera Strumica -
TBD -
Vardari Forino 2
Vardar 3
Sloga Vinica 1
Shkupi 2
FK Pehchevo 2
FK Skopje 1
Struga -
TBD -
Vellazerimi 0
Rabotnicki 1
Ohrid 0
Renova 4
Ljuboten Tetovo 0
Pelister 4
Veleshta 1
Kozuf Gevgelija 2
Teteks 0
Sileks 3
Shkendija Tetovo -
TBD -
KF Gostivar 5
Tikves 0
1/8-finals
Bregalnica Stip 0
Belasica Strumica 1
Makedonija GP 6
Kamenica Sasa 0
Brera Strumica 1
Vardar 0
Shkupi 5
FK Pehchevo 0
Struga 1
Rabotnicki 0
Renova 3
Pelister 2
Kozuf Gevgelija 1
Sileks 3
Shkendija Tetovo 1
KF Gostivar 0
Quarter-finals
Belasica Strumica 1
Makedonija GP 4
Brera Strumica 2
Shkupi 1
Struga 1
Renova 0
Sileks 1
Shkendija Tetovo 0
Semi-finals
Makedonija GP 1
Brera Strumica 3
Struga 0
Sileks 1
Final
Brera Strumica 0
Sileks 1
