Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Varde vs Aalborg II

Denmark Denmark

2nd Division West 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Varde in this 2nd Division West 2009/2010 matchup, with the score ending 5-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Varde.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Varde
15%
Draws
49%
Aalborg II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aalborg II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Varde lately — more wins on the board than Aalborg II.
  • Win probability leans Aalborg II's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular 2nd Division West 2009/2010 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Varde Clean Sheet 14%
Aalborg II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varde Aalborg II
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 8 6
Draws 6 8
Losses 18 16
Goals Scored 1.47 1
Goals Conceded 2.5 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2010 2nd Division West
Varde vs Aalborg II
5:2
Sep 26, 2009 2nd Division West
Aalborg II vs Varde
3:1
May 16, 2009 2nd Division West
Aalborg II vs Varde
0:1
Nov 1, 2008 2nd Division West
Varde vs Aalborg II
1:3
Apr 12, 2008 2nd Division West
Aalborg II vs Varde
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varde 10 / 100
Aalborg II 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varde Aalborg II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aalborg II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aalborg II has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Varde found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (32 games).

Aalborg II lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Varde VS Aalborg II
1.5 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Varde

(Home)
05 Aug
Varde
1 : 2
OKS Odense
06 Aug
Varde
0 : 6
Kolding IF
08 Aug
Kolding BK
4 : 0
Varde
30 Aug
Varde
0 : 2
Aarhus Fremad
02 Aug
Varde
4 : 3
Tarup-Paarup
Page 1 of 7

Aalborg II

(Away)
01 Jul
Aalborg II
0 : 0
Thisted FC
02 Aug
Viborg
1 : 2
Aalborg II
06 Jun
Varde
5 : 2
Aalborg II
02 Jun
Aalborg II
0 : 3
Aarhus II
29 May
Aalborg II
0 : 2
Holstebro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vendsyssel FF 30 23 4 3 60:23 73
2 Hobro 30 18 6 6 74:42 60
3 Aarhus Fremad 30 17 8 5 58:37 59
4 Randers Freja 30 16 7 7 53:34 55
5 Jammerbugt 30 15 7 8 49:23 52
6 Odense II 30 14 4 12 56:44 46
7 Svendborg 30 13 7 10 46:42 46
8 Esbjerg II 30 12 8 10 57:44 44
9 Ikast 30 13 4 13 62:60 43
10 Holstebro 30 13 2 15 48:62 41
11 Varde 30 9 4 17 46:56 31
12 Aarhus II 30 8 6 16 36:68 30
13 Tjorring 30 6 7 17 35:66 25
14 Aalborg II 30 6 7 17 32:64 25
15 Naesby 30 6 6 18 44:59 24
16 Otterup 30 4 7 19 38:70 19
Relegation - 2nd Division East 2009/2010 (Play Out)
Promotion - 1st Division 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - 2nd Division East 2009/2010 (Play Offs)