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Varde W vs Naestved HG W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Denmark Denmark

1. Division Women 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Varde W in this 1. Division Women 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Varde W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Varde W
15%
Draws
46%
Naestved HG W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Naestved HG W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Varde W haven't matched Naestved HG W's recent run of results.
  • Naestved HG W are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular 1. Division Women 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Naestved HG W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Varde W Clean Sheet 20%
Naestved HG W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varde W Naestved HG W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 13
Draws 5 3
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.73 1.7
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 18, 2023 B-Liga Women
Varde W vs Naestved HG W
2:3
Sep 16, 2023 B-Liga Women
Naestved HG W vs Varde W
1:0
Oct 15, 2022 B-Liga Women
Varde W vs Naestved HG W
0:1
Aug 13, 2022 B-Liga Women
Naestved HG W vs Varde W
3:0
Oct 30, 2021 B-Liga Women
Varde W vs Naestved HG W
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varde W 20 / 100
Naestved HG W 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varde W Naestved HG W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Naestved HG W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Naestved HG W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Varde W found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Varde W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Naestved HG W
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Varde W

(Home)
15 Jun
Varde W
4 : 2
Sundby W
08 Jun
Vildbjerg W
4 : 0
Varde W
01 Jun
Varde W
1 : 2
Solrod FC W
26 May
ASA Aarhus W
4 : 1
Varde W
19 May
Varde W
2 : 0
BSF W
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Naestved HG W

(Away)
03 Oct
Aalborg W
1 : 4
Naestved HG W
26 Sept
Thisted FC W
0 : 4
Naestved HG W
19 Sept
Naestved HG W
1 : 1
Sundby W
12 Sept
B93 W
2 : 1
Naestved HG W
06 Sept
Naestved HG W
1 : 2
Viborg W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Odense W 14 12 1 1 32:7 37
2 Sundby W 14 7 2 5 25:18 23
3 B93 W 14 6 4 4 16:9 22
4 Varde W 14 7 1 6 28:23 22
5 ASA Aarhus W 14 5 3 6 14:19 18
6 Dalum/Naesby W 14 4 3 7 13:23 15
7 Vildbjerg W 14 3 3 8 11:29 12
8 Naestved HG W 14 2 3 9 14:25 9
Promotion - Elitedivisionen Women 2021/2022 (Relegation)
Relegation - 1. Division Women 2021/2022 (Relegation)