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Vardeneset vs Brodd

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 3 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 3 2019 game between Vardeneset and Brodd finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Vardeneset
30%
Draws
58%
Brodd
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Brodd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Brodd come out ahead of Vardeneset on wins alone.
  • Brodd are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Vardeneset Clean Sheet 10%
Brodd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vardeneset Brodd
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 14
Draws 5 5
Losses 20 12
Goals Scored 1.23 2.35
Goals Conceded 2.9 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.04 1.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2019 Division 3 - Group 3
Vardeneset vs Brodd
1:1
Apr 22, 2019 Division 3 - Group 3
Brodd vs Vardeneset
5:0
Sep 6, 2018 Division 3 - Group 4
Brodd vs Vardeneset
5:2
May 15, 2018 Division 3 - Group 4
Vardeneset vs Brodd
1:1
Oct 22, 2016 Division 3 - Group 6
Brodd vs Vardeneset
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vardeneset 10 / 100
Brodd 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vardeneset Brodd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brodd Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brodd let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Vardeneset scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Vardeneset stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Brodd
0 Goals Scored 2.63
0 Goals Conceded 2.88
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Vardeneset

(Home)
19 May
Vardeneset
1 : 4
Sandnes Ulf
24 Jul
Vardeneset
0 : 3
Djerv 1919
26 Oct
Viking 2
6 : 0
Vardeneset
19 Oct
Vardeneset
1 : 1
Brodd
12 Oct
Storm BK
2 : 2
Vardeneset
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Brodd

(Away)
15 Aug
Flekkeroy
0 : 1
Brodd
08 Aug
Mandalskameratene
2 : 1
Brodd
03 Aug
Brodd
2 : 2
Stabaek 2
26 Jul
Akra
1 : 4
Brodd
28 Jun
Brodd
4 : 0
Haugesund 2
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