Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vardeneset vs Sandnes Ulf

Norway Norway

NM Cup 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Stolas A.
Assist: Hoiland T.
36' Event
Stolas A.
Assist: Ekeland J.
66' Event
Hoiland T.
Assist: Stolas A.

AI Match Summary

Sandnes Ulf in this NM Cup 2022/2023 tie, finishing 1-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Vardeneset
20%
Draws
0%
Sandnes Ulf
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vardeneset

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Vardeneset haven't matched Sandnes Ulf's recent run of results.
  • 0% — that's where the model lands on Sandnes Ulf taking it.
  • Sandnes Ulf arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Sandnes Ulf, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Vardeneset Clean Sheet 20%
Sandnes Ulf Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vardeneset Sandnes Ulf
Matches Played 30 26
Wins 5 10
Draws 5 5
Losses 20 11
Goals Scored 1.23 1.69
Goals Conceded 2.9 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2022 NM Cup
Vardeneset vs Sandnes Ulf
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vardeneset Compare

Top Goalscorer Olsen D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Sandnes Ulf Compare

Top Goalscorer Stolas A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Hoiland T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vardeneset 10 / 100
Sandnes Ulf 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vardeneset Sandnes Ulf

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sandnes Ulf Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:4
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Sandnes Ulf registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Vardeneset found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Sandnes Ulf let in goals in 73% of their last 26 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sandnes Ulf
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vardeneset

(Home)
19 May
Vardeneset
1 : 4
Sandnes Ulf
24 Jul
Vardeneset
0 : 3
Djerv 1919
26 Oct
Viking 2
6 : 0
Vardeneset
19 Oct
Vardeneset
1 : 1
Brodd
12 Oct
Storm BK
2 : 2
Vardeneset
Page 1 of 6

Sandnes Ulf

(Away)
22 Aug
Sandnes Ulf
0 : 1
Bryne
16 Aug
Sogndal
2 : 0
Sandnes Ulf
09 Aug
Sandnes Ulf
3 : 4
Hodd
02 Aug
Egersund
2 : 0
Sandnes Ulf
26 Jul
Sandnes Ulf
1 : 6
Kongsvinger
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Sprint-Jeloy 2
Moss 3
Ostsiden 0
Sarpsborg 08 7
Pors 2
Arendal 3
Randesund 0
Start 6
Elverum 2
Ottestad 1
Furnes 0
Ham-Kam 7
Floya 1
Skjervoy 2
Ishavsbyen 0
Tromso 8
Ullern 3
Asker 0
Gamle Oslo 0
KFUM Oslo 3
Bjarg 2
Fyllingsdalen 1
Floro 0
Sogndal 5
Junkeren 3
Mjolner 2
Eidsvold IF 0
Lillestrom 7
Forde 1
Hodd 5
Fjora 0
Aalesund 3
Skjetten 0
Ull/Kisa 3
Follo 0
Grorud 1
Tiller 0
Nardo 2
Dahle 1
Ranheim 8
Brumunddal 2
Strommen 0
Kolbu 1
Valerenga 5
Harstad 2
Senja 1
Rana FK 0
Bodo/Glimt 4
Traeff 4
V. Haugesund 5
Rosseland 1
Viking 6
Melhus 1
Strindheim 3
Surnadal 1
Kristiansund 4
Sola 1
Egersund 3
Vardeneset 1
Sandnes Ulf 4
Trygg/Lade 1
Levanger 2
Verdal 0
Rosenborg 6
Gjovik-Lyn 2
Raufoss 1
Honefoss 0
Stromsgodset 4
Assiden 1
Notodden 2
Lyn 2
Stabaek 3
Finnsnes 2
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 4
Bossekop 0
Alta 2
Vidar 4
Staal Jorpeland 0
Brodd 0
Bryne 2
Gjellerasen 3
Kjelsas 4
Askollen 2
Mjondalen 6
Nordstrand 0
Frigg 1
Oppsal 0
Skeid 4
Lokomotiv Oslo 1
Eidsvold TF 2
Lorenskog 1
Kongsvinger 2
Spjelkavik 0
Brattvag 4
Herd 0
Molde 2
OS TF 6
Asane 5
Voss 0
Brann 7
Baerum 1
Kvik Halden 2
Rade 0
Fredrikstad 1
Gneist IL 1
Sotra 3
Bremnes 2
Oygarden FK 5
Froya 2
Fana 3
Djerv 1919 1
Haugesund 3
Byasen 1
Kolstad 0
Orkla 3
Stjordals Blink 6
Flint 2
Eik-Tonsberg 1
Halsen 1
Sandefjord 4
Fram 1
Orn 0
IL Express 0
Jerv 7
Vindbjart 0
Flekkeroy 6
Hei 1
Odds BK 6
1/32-finals
Moss 1
Sarpsborg 08 0
Arendal 2
Start 3
Elverum 1
Ham-Kam 3
Skjervoy 1
Tromso 4
Ullern 0
KFUM Oslo 2
Bjarg 1
Sogndal 4
Junkeren 1
Lillestrom 2
Hodd 0
Aalesund 3
Ull/Kisa 2
Grorud 1
Nardo 0
Ranheim 1
Brumunddal 3
Valerenga 4
Harstad 0
Bodo/Glimt 5
V. Haugesund 1
Viking 2
Strindheim 1
Kristiansund 3
Egersund 1
Sandnes Ulf 2
Levanger 1
Rosenborg 2
Gjovik-Lyn 3
Stromsgodset 2
Notodden 1
Stabaek 3
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 2
Alta 0
Vidar 1
Bryne 3
Kjelsas 1
Mjondalen 0
Frigg 0
Skeid 1
Eidsvold TF 3
Kongsvinger 2
Brattvag 2
Molde 4
OS TF 1
Brann 6
Kvik Halden 0
Fredrikstad 1
Sotra -
Oygarden FK -
Fana 0
Haugesund 1
Byasen 4
Stjordals Blink 3
Flint 1
Sandefjord 5
Fram 1
Jerv 2
Flekkeroy 2
Odds BK 3
1/16-finals
Moss 0
Start 3
Ham-Kam 0
Tromso 1
KFUM Oslo 1
Sogndal 2
Lillestrom 1
Aalesund 0
Ull/Kisa 0
Ranheim 2
Valerenga 0
Bodo/Glimt 1
Viking 1
Kristiansund 0
Sandnes Ulf 0
Rosenborg 2
Gjovik-Lyn 0
Stabaek 7
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 0
Bryne 1
Kjelsas 3
Skeid 4
Eidsvold TF 1
Molde 4
Brann 6
Fredrikstad 0
Sotra 0
Haugesund 1
Byasen 1
Sandefjord 2
Jerv 2
Odds BK 3
1/8-finals
Start 1
Tromso 2
Sogndal 1
Lillestrom 2
Ranheim 0
Bodo/Glimt 4
Viking 2
Rosenborg 0
Stabaek 5
Bryne 0
Skeid 1
Molde 3
Brann 3
Haugesund 1
Sandefjord 4
Odds BK 1
Quarter-finals
Tromso 2
Lillestrom 3
Bodo/Glimt 5
Viking 3
Stabaek 2
Molde 1
Brann 3
Sandefjord 0
Semi-finals
Lillestrom 1
Bodo/Glimt 0
Stabaek 0
Brann 2
Final
Lillestrom 0
Brann 2